Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 1·
Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 1·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,453,02sigur0,60–2,540,59–2,301,20–4,84mai sigur0,35–2,790,36–2,530,72–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,304,189,48sigur3,44–7,162,44–5,935,88–13,09mai sigur2,95–7,651,97–6,394,92–14,04
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2911,3226,61sigur11,36–19,217,76–14,8919,12–34,10mai sigur10,27–20,306,80–15,8417,07–36,15
Șuturi din careu
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,147,8918,04sigur7,20–13,095,21–10,5812,42–23,66mai sigur6,37–13,924,48–11,3110,85–25,23
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,658,04sigur2,51–6,271,99–5,304,50–11,57mai sigur1,97–6,821,50–5,793,47–12,61
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,454,169,61sigur3,24–7,662,16–6,165,39–13,82mai sigur2,66–8,241,62–6,694,29–14,93
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,3955,21sigur39,60–53,1848,42–61,99mai sigur37,93–54,8546,75–63,67
Pase
28%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție448516964sigur381–515449–582830–1097mai sigur363–533432–600794–1133
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4373,68sigur65,41–73,4669,35–78,00mai sigur64,11–74,7668,04–79,31
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0911,7321,82sigur7,26–12,938,78–14,6716,04–27,60mai sigur6,50–13,698,03–15,4214,53–29,11
Ofsaiduri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,292,87sigur0,42–2,740,19–2,380,61–5,12mai sigur0,12–3,040,00–2,670,02–5,71
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,163,61sigur0,40–2,501,03–3,291,44–5,79mai sigur0,14–2,770,74–3,580,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
28%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,526,14sigur1,18–4,051,97–5,083,15–9,13mai sigur0,79–4,441,54–5,512,34–9,95
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,54 0,35–2,79 | 1,45 0,59–2,30 0,36–2,53 | 3,02 1,20–4,84 0,72–5,32 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,30 3,44–7,16 2,95–7,65 | 4,18 2,44–5,93 1,97–6,39 | 9,48 5,88–13,09 4,92–14,04 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,29 11,36–19,21 10,27–20,30 | 11,32 7,76–14,89 6,80–15,84 | 26,61 19,12–34,10 17,07–36,15 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,14 7,20–13,09 6,37–13,92 | 7,89 5,21–10,58 4,48–11,31 | 18,04 12,42–23,66 10,85–25,23 | 66% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,51–6,27 1,97–6,82 | 3,65 1,99–5,30 1,50–5,79 | 8,04 4,50–11,57 3,47–12,61 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,45 3,24–7,66 2,66–8,24 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,62–6,69 | 9,61 5,39–13,82 4,29–14,93 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 46,39 39,60–53,18 37,93–54,85 | 55,21 48,42–61,99 46,75–63,67 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 448 381–515 363–533 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 28% 71% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,43 65,41–73,46 64,11–74,76 | 73,68 69,35–78,00 68,04–79,31 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 10,09 7,26–12,93 6,50–13,69 | 11,73 8,78–14,67 8,03–15,42 | 21,82 16,04–27,60 14,53–29,11 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,12–3,04 | 1,29 0,19–2,38 0,00–2,67 | 2,87 0,61–5,12 0,02–5,71 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,61 1,44–5,79 0,88–6,35 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,52 1,97–5,08 1,54–5,51 | 6,14 3,15–9,13 2,34–9,95 | 28% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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