Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·
Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,192,60sigur0,45–2,390,33–2,040,78–4,43mai sigur0,20–2,640,10–2,270,30–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,294,408,68sigur2,42–6,152,66–6,145,08–12,29mai sigur1,93–6,642,19–6,614,12–13,25
Total șuturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0112,4323,45sigur7,09–14,948,87–16,0015,96–30,93mai sigur6,00–16,037,91–16,9613,91–32,99
Șuturi din careu
48%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,457,1314,58sigur4,51–10,394,45–9,818,96–20,21mai sigur3,68–11,223,71–10,557,39–21,77
Șuturi blocate
38%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,752,955,71sigur0,87–4,641,30–4,602,17–9,24mai sigur0,33–5,180,81–5,101,13–10,28
Cornere
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,694,419,10sigur2,48–6,902,41–6,414,89–13,31mai sigur1,90–7,481,88–6,943,78–14,42
Posesie %
39%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,4352,29sigur41,64–55,2245,51–59,08mai sigur39,97–56,8943,84–60,75
Pase
27%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție385456841sigur318–452390–523708–975mai sigur299–470372–540672–1011
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7477,84sigur68,71–76,7773,52–82,16mai sigur67,42–78,0672,21–83,47
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3514,5726,92sigur9,51–15,1911,62–17,5121,14–32,70mai sigur8,76–15,9410,88–18,2619,63–34,21
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,033,87sigur0,68–3,000,93–3,121,62–6,12mai sigur0,38–3,310,65–3,411,03–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,012,154,16sigur0,96–3,061,03–3,281,99–6,34mai sigur0,69–3,330,73–3,571,43–6,90
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
45%
17%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,012,805,80sigur1,57–4,441,24–4,362,81–8,80mai sigur1,18–4,830,82–4,782,00–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,27 | 2,60 0,78–4,43 0,30–4,91 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,29 2,42–6,15 1,93–6,64 | 4,40 2,66–6,14 2,19–6,61 | 8,68 5,08–12,29 4,12–13,25 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 11,01 7,09–14,94 6,00–16,03 | 12,43 8,87–16,00 7,91–16,96 | 23,45 15,96–30,93 13,91–32,99 | 35% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,45 4,51–10,39 3,68–11,22 | 7,13 4,45–9,81 3,71–10,55 | 14,58 8,96–20,21 7,39–21,77 | 48% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,75 0,87–4,64 0,33–5,18 | 2,95 1,30–4,60 0,81–5,10 | 5,71 2,17–9,24 1,13–10,28 | 38% 17% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,69 2,48–6,90 1,90–7,48 | 4,41 2,41–6,41 1,88–6,94 | 9,10 4,89–13,31 3,78–14,42 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Posesie % | 48,43 41,64–55,22 39,97–56,89 | 52,29 45,51–59,08 43,84–60,75 | — | 39% 57% |
| Pase | 385 318–452 299–470 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 841 708–975 672–1011 | 27% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,74 68,71–76,77 67,42–78,06 | 77,84 73,52–82,16 72,21–83,47 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 12,35 9,51–15,19 8,76–15,94 | 14,57 11,62–17,51 10,88–18,26 | 26,92 21,14–32,70 19,63–34,21 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,31 | 2,03 0,93–3,12 0,65–3,41 | 3,87 1,62–6,12 1,03–6,71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,01 0,96–3,06 0,69–3,33 | 2,15 1,03–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,16 1,99–6,34 1,43–6,90 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,57–4,44 1,18–4,83 | 2,80 1,24–4,36 0,82–4,78 | 5,80 2,81–8,80 2,00–9,61 | 45% 17% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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