Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·
Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,482,88sigur0,43–2,370,63–2,341,06–4,71mai sigur0,18–2,620,40–2,570,58–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,994,759,74sigur3,13–6,853,01–6,496,13–13,34mai sigur2,64–7,342,54–6,965,18–14,30
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0712,8826,95sigur10,15–18,009,31–16,4419,46–34,44mai sigur9,06–19,098,36–17,4017,41–36,49
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,848,4217,26sigur5,90–11,785,74–11,1011,64–22,88mai sigur5,07–12,615,00–11,8410,07–24,45
Șuturi blocate
41%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,683,797,47sigur1,80–5,562,14–5,443,94–11,01mai sigur1,25–6,111,65–5,942,90–12,04
Cornere
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,894,309,19sigur2,68–7,112,30–6,304,98–13,41mai sigur2,11–7,681,77–6,833,87–14,51
Posesie %
43%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7151,90sigur42,92–56,5045,12–58,69mai sigur41,25–58,1743,45–60,36
Pase
43%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5075281035sigur440–574462–595902–1169mai sigur422–592444–612866–1205
Precizie pase %
30%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,2275,73sigur68,19–76,2571,41–80,05mai sigur66,90–77,5470,10–81,36
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,139,9120,04sigur7,29–12,966,97–12,8614,26–25,82mai sigur6,53–13,726,22–13,6112,75–27,33
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,553,14sigur0,43–2,750,46–2,640,88–5,39mai sigur0,13–3,050,17–2,930,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,532,97sigur0,39–2,480,40–2,660,79–5,15mai sigur0,12–2,750,11–2,950,23–5,70
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,063,416,46sigur1,62–4,491,85–4,963,47–9,46mai sigur1,23–4,881,43–5,392,66–10,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,48 0,63–2,34 0,40–2,57 | 2,88 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,18 | 36% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,99 3,13–6,85 2,64–7,34 | 4,75 3,01–6,49 2,54–6,96 | 9,74 6,13–13,34 5,18–14,30 | 47% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 14,07 10,15–18,00 9,06–19,09 | 12,88 9,31–16,44 8,36–17,40 | 26,95 19,46–34,44 17,41–36,49 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,84 5,90–11,78 5,07–12,61 | 8,42 5,74–11,10 5,00–11,84 | 17,26 11,64–22,88 10,07–24,45 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,68 1,80–5,56 1,25–6,11 | 3,79 2,14–5,44 1,65–5,94 | 7,47 3,94–11,01 2,90–12,04 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,89 2,68–7,11 2,11–7,68 | 4,30 2,30–6,30 1,77–6,83 | 9,19 4,98–13,41 3,87–14,51 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Posesie % | 49,71 42,92–56,50 41,25–58,17 | 51,90 45,12–58,69 43,45–60,36 | — | 43% 53% |
| Pase | 507 440–574 422–592 | 528 462–595 444–612 | 1035 902–1169 866–1205 | 43% 57% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,22 68,19–76,25 66,90–77,54 | 75,73 71,41–80,05 70,10–81,36 | — | 30% 65% |
| Faulturi | 10,13 7,29–12,96 6,53–13,72 | 9,91 6,97–12,86 6,22–13,61 | 20,04 14,26–25,82 12,75–27,33 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,55 0,46–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,39–2,48 0,12–2,75 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 2,97 0,79–5,15 0,23–5,70 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,06 1,62–4,49 1,23–4,88 | 3,41 1,85–4,96 1,43–5,39 | 6,46 3,47–9,46 2,66–10,27 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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