Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·
Conference League·Faza ligii - etapa 3·Statistici estimate
Goluri
61%
21%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,013,04sigur1,06–3,000,15–1,861,21–4,86mai sigur0,81–3,250,00–2,090,73–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,973,079,04sigur4,11–7,841,33–4,815,44–12,65mai sigur3,62–8,330,86–5,284,48–13,60
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,359,4626,80sigur13,42–21,275,89–13,0219,32–34,29mai sigur12,33–22,364,93–13,9817,27–36,34
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,806,5318,33sigur8,86–14,743,85–9,2112,70–23,95mai sigur8,03–15,573,11–9,9511,14–25,52
Șuturi blocate
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,552,627,17sigur2,67–6,430,97–4,283,64–10,71mai sigur2,12–6,970,48–4,772,60–11,74
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,213,429,62sigur3,99–8,421,42–5,425,41–13,84mai sigur3,42–9,000,88–5,954,30–14,95
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,9643,24sigur51,17–64,7536,46–50,03mai sigur49,50–66,4234,79–51,70
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție549405954sigur482–616339–471820–1087mai sigur463–634321–489784–1123
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,3675,80sigur74,33–82,3971,48–80,13mai sigur73,03–83,6870,17–81,44
Faulturi
52%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1410,3821,52sigur8,30–13,977,44–13,3215,73–27,30mai sigur7,54–14,736,69–14,0714,23–28,80
Ofsaiduri
43%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,793,77sigur0,82–3,140,70–2,881,52–6,03mai sigur0,52–3,450,41–3,170,93–6,62
Cartonașe galbene
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,643,31sigur0,62–2,720,51–2,771,13–5,49mai sigur0,35–2,980,22–3,060,57–6,05
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
21%
14%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,453,996,44sigur1,01–3,882,43–5,543,44–9,43mai sigur0,63–4,272,01–5,972,63–10,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,03 1,06–3,00 0,81–3,25 | 1,01 0,15–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 3,04 1,21–4,86 0,73–5,34 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,97 4,11–7,84 3,62–8,33 | 3,07 1,33–4,81 0,86–5,28 | 9,04 5,44–12,65 4,48–13,60 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 17,35 13,42–21,27 12,33–22,36 | 9,46 5,89–13,02 4,93–13,98 | 26,80 19,32–34,29 17,27–36,34 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,80 8,86–14,74 8,03–15,57 | 6,53 3,85–9,21 3,11–9,95 | 18,33 12,70–23,95 11,14–25,52 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,55 2,67–6,43 2,12–6,97 | 2,62 0,97–4,28 0,48–4,77 | 7,17 3,64–10,71 2,60–11,74 | 70% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,21 3,99–8,42 3,42–9,00 | 3,42 1,42–5,42 0,88–5,95 | 9,62 5,41–13,84 4,30–14,95 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 57,96 51,17–64,75 49,50–66,42 | 43,24 36,46–50,03 34,79–51,70 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 549 482–616 463–634 | 405 339–471 321–489 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,36 74,33–82,39 73,03–83,68 | 75,80 71,48–80,13 70,17–81,44 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 11,14 8,30–13,97 7,54–14,73 | 10,38 7,44–13,32 6,69–14,07 | 21,52 15,73–27,30 14,23–28,80 | 52% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,45 | 1,79 0,70–2,88 0,41–3,17 | 3,77 1,52–6,03 0,93–6,62 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,35–2,98 | 1,64 0,51–2,77 0,22–3,06 | 3,31 1,13–5,49 0,57–6,05 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,01–3,88 0,63–4,27 | 3,99 2,43–5,54 2,01–5,97 | 6,44 3,44–9,43 2,63–10,24 | 21% 14% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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