Cupa Spaniei·1/128 de finală·
Cupa Spaniei·1/128 de finală·Statistici estimate
lot nepublicat · estimare după formăGoluri
29%
26%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,141,472,61sigur0,17–2,100,62–2,330,79–4,43mai sigur0,00–2,360,39–2,560,31–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
13%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,044,718,76sigur2,18–5,912,97–6,455,15–12,36mai sigur1,69–6,402,50–6,924,20–13,32
Total șuturi
18%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3913,2222,60sigur5,46–13,319,65–16,7815,11–30,09mai sigur4,37–14,408,69–17,7413,06–32,14
Șuturi din careu
24%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,909,2816,18sigur3,96–9,846,60–11,9610,56–21,80mai sigur3,13–10,675,86–12,708,99–23,37
Șuturi blocate
41%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,752,755,49sigur0,86–4,631,09–4,401,96–9,03mai sigur0,32–5,170,60–4,890,92–10,07
Cornere
40%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,979,64sigur2,45–6,882,97–6,975,43–13,85mai sigur1,88–7,462,44–7,514,32–14,96
Posesie %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,3754,73sigur39,58–53,1647,95–61,52mai sigur37,91–54,8346,27–63,19
Pase
27%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție357429786sigur290–424362–495652–919mai sigur272–442345–513616–955
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1572,58sigur62,13–70,1868,25–76,90mai sigur60,83–71,4866,94–78,21
Faulturi
56%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0212,7826,80sigur11,18–16,869,83–15,7221,01–32,58mai sigur10,43–17,619,08–16,4719,51–34,08
Ofsaiduri
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,182,194,37sigur1,02–3,341,10–3,282,12–6,63mai sigur0,72–3,650,81–3,571,53–7,22
Cartonașe galbene
55%
20%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,201,423,62sigur1,15–3,240,29–2,551,44–5,80mai sigur0,88–3,510,00–2,840,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,150,100,25sigur0,00–0,310,00–0,290,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,460,00–0,420,00–0,88
Parade portar
43%
17%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,103,006,10sigur1,66–4,531,45–4,563,11–9,09mai sigur1,27–4,921,02–4,982,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,14 0,17–2,10 0,00–2,36 | 1,47 0,62–2,33 0,39–2,56 | 2,61 0,79–4,43 0,31–4,91 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,04 2,18–5,91 1,69–6,40 | 4,71 2,97–6,45 2,50–6,92 | 8,76 5,15–12,36 4,20–13,32 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 9,39 5,46–13,31 4,37–14,40 | 13,22 9,65–16,78 8,69–17,74 | 22,60 15,11–30,09 13,06–32,14 | 18% 76% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,90 3,96–9,84 3,13–10,67 | 9,28 6,60–11,96 5,86–12,70 | 16,18 10,56–21,80 8,99–23,37 | 24% 68% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,75 0,86–4,63 0,32–5,17 | 2,75 1,09–4,40 0,60–4,89 | 5,49 1,96–9,03 0,92–10,07 | 41% 17% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,45–6,88 1,88–7,46 | 4,97 2,97–6,97 2,44–7,51 | 9,64 5,43–13,85 4,32–14,96 | 40% 47% |
| Posesie % | 46,37 39,58–53,16 37,91–54,83 | 54,73 47,95–61,52 46,27–63,19 | — | 29% 67% |
| Pase | 357 290–424 272–442 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 786 652–919 616–955 | 27% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,15 62,13–70,18 60,83–71,48 | 72,58 68,25–76,90 66,94–78,21 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 14,02 11,18–16,86 10,43–17,61 | 12,78 9,83–15,72 9,08–16,47 | 26,80 21,01–32,58 19,51–34,08 | 56% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,18 1,02–3,34 0,72–3,65 | 2,19 1,10–3,28 0,81–3,57 | 4,37 2,12–6,63 1,53–7,22 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,20 1,15–3,24 0,88–3,51 | 1,42 0,29–2,55 0,00–2,84 | 3,62 1,44–5,80 0,88–6,35 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,15 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,46 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,10 1,66–4,53 1,27–4,92 | 3,00 1,45–4,56 1,02–4,98 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 43% 17% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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