Cupa Spaniei·1/128 de finală·
Cupa Spaniei·1/128 de finală·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
23%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,121,762,88sigur0,15–2,090,91–2,621,06–4,71mai sigur0,00–2,340,68–2,850,58–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,785,709,47sigur1,91–5,643,96–7,445,87–13,08mai sigur1,42–6,133,49–7,914,91–14,03
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0615,9225,98sigur6,14–13,9912,36–19,4818,50–33,47mai sigur5,05–15,0811,40–20,4416,45–35,52
Șuturi din careu
19%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,399,4115,80sigur3,45–9,336,73–12,0910,18–21,42mai sigur2,62–10,165,99–12,838,61–22,99
Șuturi blocate
29%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,034,017,04sigur1,15–4,912,36–5,673,50–10,58mai sigur0,60–5,451,87–6,162,47–11,61
Cornere
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,305,079,38sigur2,09–6,523,07–7,075,16–13,59mai sigur1,52–7,092,54–7,614,05–14,70
Posesie %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,1455,33sigur38,35–51,9348,55–62,12mai sigur36,68–53,6046,88–63,79
Pase
38%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție338373711sigur271–405307–440577–845mai sigur253–423289–457542–880
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,0776,00sigur63,04–71,1071,68–80,33mai sigur61,75–72,3970,37–81,64
Faulturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3210,6825,01sigur11,49–17,167,74–13,6319,23–30,79mai sigur10,73–17,926,99–14,3817,72–32,29
Ofsaiduri
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,932,244,17sigur0,77–3,091,15–3,331,92–6,43mai sigur0,47–3,390,86–3,621,33–7,01
Cartonașe galbene
58%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,211,303,52sigur1,16–3,260,17–2,431,34–5,69mai sigur0,90–3,530,00–2,720,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,100,24sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,280,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,410,00–0,87
Parade portar
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,473,016,49sigur2,03–4,911,46–4,573,49–9,48mai sigur1,65–5,291,03–5,002,68–10,29
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,12 0,15–2,09 0,00–2,34 | 1,76 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 2,88 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,18 | 24% 23% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,78 1,91–5,64 1,42–6,13 | 5,70 3,96–7,44 3,49–7,91 | 9,47 5,87–13,08 4,91–14,03 | 21% 68% |
| Total șuturi | 10,06 6,14–13,99 5,05–15,08 | 15,92 12,36–19,48 11,40–20,44 | 25,98 18,50–33,47 16,45–35,52 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,39 3,45–9,33 2,62–10,16 | 9,41 6,73–12,09 5,99–12,83 | 15,80 10,18–21,42 8,61–22,99 | 19% 74% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,03 1,15–4,91 0,60–5,45 | 4,01 2,36–5,67 1,87–6,16 | 7,04 3,50–10,58 2,47–11,61 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Cornere | 4,30 2,09–6,52 1,52–7,09 | 5,07 3,07–7,07 2,54–7,61 | 9,38 5,16–13,59 4,05–14,70 | 34% 53% |
| Posesie % | 45,14 38,35–51,93 36,68–53,60 | 55,33 48,55–62,12 46,88–63,79 | — | 25% 71% |
| Pase | 338 271–405 253–423 | 373 307–440 289–457 | 711 577–845 542–880 | 38% 61% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,07 63,04–71,10 61,75–72,39 | 76,00 71,68–80,33 70,37–81,64 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 14,32 11,49–17,16 10,73–17,92 | 10,68 7,74–13,63 6,99–14,38 | 25,01 19,23–30,79 17,72–32,29 | 74% 20% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 2,24 1,15–3,33 0,86–3,62 | 4,17 1,92–6,43 1,33–7,01 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,21 1,16–3,26 0,90–3,53 | 1,30 0,17–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,52 1,34–5,69 0,78–6,25 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,47 2,03–4,91 1,65–5,29 | 3,01 1,46–4,57 1,03–5,00 | 6,49 3,49–9,48 2,68–10,29 | 49% 16% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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