Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,153,07sigur0,96–2,890,29–2,001,25–4,90mai sigur0,71–3,140,06–2,230,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,083,798,87sigur3,21–6,942,05–5,535,26–12,47mai sigur2,72–7,431,58–6,004,31–13,43
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,278,6323,90sigur11,34–19,195,07–12,1916,41–31,38mai sigur10,25–20,284,11–13,1514,36–33,43
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,335,6514,99sigur6,39–12,272,97–8,349,36–20,61mai sigur5,56–13,102,24–9,077,80–22,18
Șuturi blocate
46%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,276,78sigur1,63–5,391,62–4,923,24–10,31mai sigur1,08–5,931,13–5,422,21–11,35
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,743,449,18sigur3,52–7,951,44–5,444,96–13,39mai sigur2,95–8,520,91–5,973,86–14,50
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,5045,39sigur47,71–61,2938,61–52,18mai sigur46,04–62,9636,94–53,85
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție483395877sigur415–550328–461744–1011mai sigur397–568311–479708–1047
Precizie pase %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,8870,22sigur73,85–81,9165,90–74,55mai sigur72,56–83,2064,59–75,86
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0111,8123,82sigur9,17–14,858,87–14,7618,04–29,60mai sigur8,42–15,618,12–15,5016,54–31,11
Ofsaiduri
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,042,024,06sigur0,88–3,200,93–3,111,80–6,31mai sigur0,58–3,500,64–3,401,21–6,90
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,963,40sigur0,40–2,490,83–3,091,22–5,58mai sigur0,13–2,760,54–3,380,67–6,14
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,693,255,94sigur1,26–4,131,69–4,812,95–8,94mai sigur0,87–4,521,27–5,232,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,93 0,96–2,89 0,71–3,14 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 3,07 1,25–4,90 0,77–5,37 | 55% 22% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,08 3,21–6,94 2,72–7,43 | 3,79 2,05–5,53 1,58–6,00 | 8,87 5,26–12,47 4,31–13,43 | 60% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 15,27 11,34–19,19 10,25–20,28 | 8,63 5,07–12,19 4,11–13,15 | 23,90 16,41–31,38 14,36–33,43 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,33 6,39–12,27 5,56–13,10 | 5,65 2,97–8,34 2,24–9,07 | 14,99 9,36–20,61 7,80–22,18 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 3,27 1,62–4,92 1,13–5,42 | 6,78 3,24–10,31 2,21–11,35 | 46% 16% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,74 3,52–7,95 2,95–8,52 | 3,44 1,44–5,44 0,91–5,97 | 9,18 4,96–13,39 3,86–14,50 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 54,50 47,71–61,29 46,04–62,96 | 45,39 38,61–52,18 36,94–53,85 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 483 415–550 397–568 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 877 744–1011 708–1047 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,88 73,85–81,91 72,56–83,20 | 70,22 65,90–74,55 64,59–75,86 | — | 82% 15% |
| Faulturi | 12,01 9,17–14,85 8,42–15,61 | 11,81 8,87–14,76 8,12–15,50 | 23,82 18,04–29,60 16,54–31,11 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 2,02 0,93–3,11 0,64–3,40 | 4,06 1,80–6,31 1,21–6,90 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,40–2,49 0,13–2,76 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,40 1,22–5,58 0,67–6,14 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,69 1,26–4,13 0,87–4,52 | 3,25 1,69–4,81 1,27–5,23 | 5,94 2,95–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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