Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
26%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,382,75sigur0,41–2,340,52–2,230,93–4,57mai sigur0,15–2,590,29–2,460,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,604,969,57sigur2,74–6,463,22–6,715,96–13,17mai sigur2,25–6,952,76–7,175,00–14,13
Total șuturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7714,3426,10sigur7,84–15,6910,77–17,9018,61–33,59mai sigur6,75–16,789,81–18,8616,56–35,64
Șuturi din careu
33%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,998,2315,22sigur4,05–9,935,55–10,919,60–20,85mai sigur3,22–10,764,81–11,658,03–22,41
Șuturi blocate
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,312,936,23sigur1,43–5,191,27–4,582,70–9,77mai sigur0,88–5,730,78–5,071,66–10,81
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,324,509,81sigur3,10–7,532,50–6,505,60–14,02mai sigur2,53–8,101,96–7,034,49–15,13
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,2249,32sigur42,43–56,0142,54–56,11mai sigur40,76–57,6840,87–57,78
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție362379741sigur295–429313–446608–875mai sigur276–447295–463572–911
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,9369,92sigur59,90–67,9665,60–74,24mai sigur58,61–69,2564,29–75,55
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2112,5224,73sigur9,37–15,049,58–15,4718,95–30,51mai sigur8,61–15,808,83–16,2117,44–32,01
Ofsaiduri
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,052,064,10sigur0,89–3,210,96–3,151,85–6,36mai sigur0,59–3,510,68–3,441,26–6,95
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,653,19sigur0,49–2,590,52–2,771,01–5,37mai sigur0,23–2,860,23–3,070,45–5,92
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,983,166,14sigur1,54–4,421,61–4,723,15–9,14mai sigur1,16–4,801,18–5,142,34–9,95
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,41–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,38 0,52–2,23 0,29–2,46 | 2,75 0,93–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,74–6,46 2,25–6,95 | 4,96 3,22–6,71 2,76–7,17 | 9,57 5,96–13,17 5,00–14,13 | 39% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 11,77 7,84–15,69 6,75–16,78 | 14,34 10,77–17,90 9,81–18,86 | 26,10 18,61–33,59 16,56–35,64 | 27% 66% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,99 4,05–9,93 3,22–10,76 | 8,23 5,55–10,91 4,81–11,65 | 15,22 9,60–20,85 8,03–22,41 | 33% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,31 1,43–5,19 0,88–5,73 | 2,93 1,27–4,58 0,78–5,07 | 6,23 2,70–9,77 1,66–10,81 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,32 3,10–7,53 2,53–8,10 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,96–7,03 | 9,81 5,60–14,02 4,49–15,13 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 49,22 42,43–56,01 40,76–57,68 | 49,32 42,54–56,11 40,87–57,78 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 362 295–429 276–447 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 741 608–875 572–911 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,93 59,90–67,96 58,61–69,25 | 69,92 65,60–74,24 64,29–75,55 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 12,21 9,37–15,04 8,61–15,80 | 12,52 9,58–15,47 8,83–16,21 | 24,73 18,95–30,51 17,44–32,01 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,89–3,21 0,59–3,51 | 2,06 0,96–3,15 0,68–3,44 | 4,10 1,85–6,36 1,26–6,95 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,65 0,52–2,77 0,23–3,07 | 3,19 1,01–5,37 0,45–5,92 | 36% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,54–4,42 1,16–4,80 | 3,16 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,14 3,15–9,14 2,34–9,95 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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