Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,232,99sigur0,80–2,730,37–2,081,17–4,81mai sigur0,54–2,980,14–2,310,69–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,974,049,01sigur3,11–6,832,30–5,785,41–12,62mai sigur2,62–7,321,83–6,254,45–13,57
Total șuturi
68%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7111,8626,58sigur10,79–18,648,30–15,4319,09–34,06mai sigur9,70–19,737,34–16,3917,04–36,11
Șuturi din careu
70%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,766,1914,95sigur5,82–11,703,51–8,879,33–20,58mai sigur4,99–12,532,77–9,617,76–22,14
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,663,166,82sigur1,77–5,541,51–4,823,29–10,36mai sigur1,23–6,081,02–5,312,25–11,39
Cornere
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,423,899,30sigur3,21–7,631,89–5,895,09–13,52mai sigur2,63–8,211,35–6,423,98–14,63
Posesie %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,7248,04sigur44,93–58,5141,26–54,83mai sigur43,26–60,1839,59–56,50
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție417363780sigur350–484297–430647–914mai sigur331–502279–447611–950
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,1271,15sigur67,09–75,1566,83–75,48mai sigur65,79–76,4465,52–76,79
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1611,6723,84sigur9,33–15,008,73–14,6218,05–29,62mai sigur8,57–15,767,98–15,3716,55–31,12
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,904,00sigur0,94–3,260,81–2,991,75–6,26mai sigur0,64–3,560,52–3,281,16–6,85
Cartonașe galbene
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,623,15sigur0,48–2,580,49–2,750,97–5,32mai sigur0,22–2,850,20–3,040,41–5,88
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,803,446,24sigur1,36–4,241,88–4,993,24–9,23mai sigur0,98–4,621,46–5,422,43–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,80–2,73 0,54–2,98 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,99 1,17–4,81 0,69–5,29 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,97 3,11–6,83 2,62–7,32 | 4,04 2,30–5,78 1,83–6,25 | 9,01 5,41–12,62 4,45–13,57 | 56% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 14,71 10,79–18,64 9,70–19,73 | 11,86 8,30–15,43 7,34–16,39 | 26,58 19,09–34,06 17,04–36,11 | 68% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,76 5,82–11,70 4,99–12,53 | 6,19 3,51–8,87 2,77–9,61 | 14,95 9,33–20,58 7,76–22,14 | 70% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,66 1,77–5,54 1,23–6,08 | 3,16 1,51–4,82 1,02–5,31 | 6,82 3,29–10,36 2,25–11,39 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,21–7,63 2,63–8,21 | 3,89 1,89–5,89 1,35–6,42 | 9,30 5,09–13,52 3,98–14,63 | 63% 25% |
| Posesie % | 51,72 44,93–58,51 43,26–60,18 | 48,04 41,26–54,83 39,59–56,50 | — | 56% 39% |
| Pase | 417 350–484 331–502 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 780 647–914 611–950 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,12 67,09–75,15 65,79–76,44 | 71,15 66,83–75,48 65,52–76,79 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 12,16 9,33–15,00 8,57–15,76 | 11,67 8,73–14,62 7,98–15,37 | 23,84 18,05–29,62 16,55–31,12 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,10 0,94–3,26 0,64–3,56 | 1,90 0,81–2,99 0,52–3,28 | 4,00 1,75–6,26 1,16–6,85 | 44% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,22–2,85 | 1,62 0,49–2,75 0,20–3,04 | 3,15 0,97–5,32 0,41–5,88 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,80 1,36–4,24 0,98–4,62 | 3,44 1,88–4,99 1,46–5,42 | 6,24 3,24–9,23 2,43–10,04 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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