Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,332,74sigur0,44–2,380,47–2,180,92–4,56mai sigur0,19–2,630,25–2,410,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,364,568,92sigur2,50–6,232,81–6,305,31–12,52mai sigur2,01–6,722,35–6,764,36–13,48
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8911,0523,94sigur8,96–16,817,49–14,6116,45–31,43mai sigur7,87–17,906,53–15,5714,40–33,48
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,127,5515,68sigur5,18–11,064,87–10,2410,05–21,30mai sigur4,35–11,894,14–10,978,49–22,87
Șuturi blocate
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,346,55sigur1,32–5,081,69–5,003,01–10,08mai sigur0,78–5,631,20–5,491,97–11,12
Cornere
47%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,964,689,65sigur2,75–7,172,68–6,685,43–13,86mai sigur2,17–7,752,15–7,224,32–14,97
Posesie %
51%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,6449,38sigur43,85–57,4342,60–56,17mai sigur42,18–59,1040,92–57,84
Pase
65%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție417372789sigur350–484305–438655–923mai sigur332–503288–456620–958
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,1372,07sigur71,10–79,1667,75–76,40mai sigur69,81–80,4566,44–77,70
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9813,1126,08sigur10,14–15,8110,16–16,0520,30–31,86mai sigur9,38–16,579,41–16,8018,80–33,37
Ofsaiduri
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,982,074,05sigur0,82–3,140,98–3,171,80–6,31mai sigur0,52–3,440,69–3,451,21–6,90
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,843,48sigur0,59–2,690,72–2,971,30–5,66mai sigur0,32–2,950,42–3,260,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,183,166,34sigur1,75–4,621,60–4,723,35–9,34mai sigur1,36–5,011,18–5,142,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,41 0,44–2,38 0,19–2,63 | 1,33 0,47–2,18 0,25–2,41 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,36 2,50–6,23 2,01–6,72 | 4,56 2,81–6,30 2,35–6,76 | 8,92 5,31–12,52 4,36–13,48 | 41% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 12,89 8,96–16,81 7,87–17,90 | 11,05 7,49–14,61 6,53–15,57 | 23,94 16,45–31,43 14,40–33,48 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,12 5,18–11,06 4,35–11,89 | 7,55 4,87–10,24 4,14–10,97 | 15,68 10,05–21,30 8,49–22,87 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,20 1,32–5,08 0,78–5,63 | 3,34 1,69–5,00 1,20–5,49 | 6,55 3,01–10,08 1,97–11,12 | 40% 16% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,96 2,75–7,17 2,17–7,75 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,22 | 9,65 5,43–13,86 4,32–14,97 | 47% 40% |
| Posesie % | 50,64 43,85–57,43 42,18–59,10 | 49,38 42,60–56,17 40,92–57,84 | — | 51% 45% |
| Pase | 417 350–484 332–503 | 372 305–438 288–456 | 789 655–923 620–958 | 65% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,13 71,10–79,16 69,81–80,45 | 72,07 67,75–76,40 66,44–77,70 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 12,98 10,14–15,81 9,38–16,57 | 13,11 10,16–16,05 9,41–16,80 | 26,08 20,30–31,86 18,80–33,37 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 2,07 0,98–3,17 0,69–3,45 | 4,05 1,80–6,31 1,21–6,90 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 1,84 0,72–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,18 1,75–4,62 1,36–5,01 | 3,16 1,60–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,34 3,35–9,34 2,54–10,15 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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