Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,291,682,97sigur0,33–2,260,82–2,531,15–4,80mai sigur0,08–2,510,60–2,760,67–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
13%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,174,748,90sigur2,30–6,032,99–6,485,30–12,51mai sigur1,81–6,522,53–6,954,34–13,46
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3814,6424,02sigur5,46–13,3111,08–18,2116,54–31,51mai sigur4,36–14,4010,12–19,1714,49–33,56
Șuturi din careu
16%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,359,7816,13sigur3,41–9,297,10–12,4610,51–21,75mai sigur2,58–10,126,36–13,208,94–23,32
Șuturi blocate
45%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,006,20sigur1,32–5,081,35–4,652,67–9,74mai sigur0,78–5,630,85–5,151,63–10,77
Cornere
36%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,394,999,39sigur2,18–6,612,99–6,995,18–13,60mai sigur1,61–7,182,46–7,534,07–14,71
Posesie %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,5554,67sigur39,76–53,3447,88–61,45mai sigur38,09–55,0146,21–63,12
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție347430777sigur280–414364–497643–911mai sigur261–432346–514608–946
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,5372,31sigur60,50–68,5667,99–76,64mai sigur59,21–69,8566,68–77,95
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9712,4925,46sigur10,13–15,819,55–15,4319,68–31,24mai sigur9,37–16,568,80–16,1818,17–32,75
Ofsaiduri
35%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,164,07sigur0,75–3,071,06–3,251,81–6,32mai sigur0,45–3,370,78–3,541,23–6,91
Cartonașe galbene
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,643,20sigur0,52–2,620,51–2,771,03–5,38mai sigur0,25–2,880,22–3,060,47–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,372,806,16sigur1,93–4,801,24–4,353,17–9,15mai sigur1,54–5,190,82–4,782,36–9,97
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,29 0,33–2,26 0,08–2,51 | 1,68 0,82–2,53 0,60–2,76 | 2,97 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,28 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,17 2,30–6,03 1,81–6,52 | 4,74 2,99–6,48 2,53–6,95 | 8,90 5,30–12,51 4,34–13,46 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total șuturi | 9,38 5,46–13,31 4,36–14,40 | 14,64 11,08–18,21 10,12–19,17 | 24,02 16,54–31,51 14,49–33,56 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,35 3,41–9,29 2,58–10,12 | 9,78 7,10–12,46 6,36–13,20 | 16,13 10,51–21,75 8,94–23,32 | 16% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,20 1,32–5,08 0,78–5,63 | 3,00 1,35–4,65 0,85–5,15 | 6,20 2,67–9,74 1,63–10,77 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Cornere | 4,39 2,18–6,61 1,61–7,18 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,53 | 9,39 5,18–13,60 4,07–14,71 | 36% 51% |
| Posesie % | 46,55 39,76–53,34 38,09–55,01 | 54,67 47,88–61,45 46,21–63,12 | — | 30% 66% |
| Pase | 347 280–414 261–432 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 777 643–911 608–946 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,53 60,50–68,56 59,21–69,85 | 72,31 67,99–76,64 66,68–77,95 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 12,97 10,13–15,81 9,37–16,56 | 12,49 9,55–15,43 8,80–16,18 | 25,46 19,68–31,24 18,17–32,75 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,37 | 2,16 1,06–3,25 0,78–3,54 | 4,07 1,81–6,32 1,23–6,91 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,25–2,88 | 1,64 0,51–2,77 0,22–3,06 | 3,20 1,03–5,38 0,47–5,94 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,37 1,93–4,80 1,54–5,19 | 2,80 1,24–4,35 0,82–4,78 | 6,16 3,17–9,15 2,36–9,97 | 51% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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