Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,282,74sigur0,48–2,420,43–2,140,91–4,56mai sigur0,23–2,670,20–2,370,43–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,634,128,75sigur2,77–6,502,38–5,865,15–12,36mai sigur2,28–6,991,91–6,334,19–13,31
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9910,7321,72sigur7,06–14,917,17–14,3014,23–29,21mai sigur5,97–16,006,21–15,2612,18–31,26
Șuturi din careu
60%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,776,3114,07sigur4,82–10,713,62–8,998,45–19,69mai sigur3,99–11,542,89–9,726,88–21,26
Șuturi blocate
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,176,09sigur1,03–4,801,52–4,822,55–9,62mai sigur0,49–5,341,03–5,321,52–10,66
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,374,069,43sigur3,16–7,582,06–6,065,21–13,64mai sigur2,58–8,161,52–6,594,11–14,75
Posesie %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,9047,93sigur45,11–58,6941,14–54,71mai sigur43,44–60,3639,47–56,38
Pase
65%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412366778sigur345–479300–433645–912mai sigur327–498282–450609–948
Precizie pase %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,2068,70sigur66,17–74,2364,38–73,03mai sigur64,88–75,5263,07–74,34
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7611,5824,34sigur9,92–15,608,63–14,5218,55–30,12mai sigur9,17–16,357,88–15,2717,05–31,62
Ofsaiduri
37%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,063,96sigur0,74–3,060,97–3,151,71–6,22mai sigur0,44–3,370,68–3,441,12–6,81
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,913,57sigur0,62–2,710,78–3,041,40–5,75mai sigur0,35–2,980,49–3,330,84–6,31
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,090,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,873,166,02sigur1,43–4,301,60–4,713,03–9,01mai sigur1,04–4,691,17–5,142,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,45 0,48–2,42 0,23–2,67 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,74 0,91–4,56 0,43–5,04 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,77–6,50 2,28–6,99 | 4,12 2,38–5,86 1,91–6,33 | 8,75 5,15–12,36 4,19–13,31 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 10,99 7,06–14,91 5,97–16,00 | 10,73 7,17–14,30 6,21–15,26 | 21,72 14,23–29,21 12,18–31,26 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,77 4,82–10,71 3,99–11,54 | 6,31 3,62–8,99 2,89–9,72 | 14,07 8,45–19,69 6,88–21,26 | 60% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,92 1,03–4,80 0,49–5,34 | 3,17 1,52–4,82 1,03–5,32 | 6,09 2,55–9,62 1,52–10,66 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,37 3,16–7,58 2,58–8,16 | 4,06 2,06–6,06 1,52–6,59 | 9,43 5,21–13,64 4,11–14,75 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 51,90 45,11–58,69 43,44–60,36 | 47,93 41,14–54,71 39,47–56,38 | — | 57% 38% |
| Pase | 412 345–479 327–498 | 366 300–433 282–450 | 778 645–912 609–948 | 65% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,20 66,17–74,23 64,88–75,52 | 68,70 64,38–73,03 63,07–74,34 | — | 55% 40% |
| Faulturi | 12,76 9,92–15,60 9,17–16,35 | 11,58 8,63–14,52 7,88–15,27 | 24,34 18,55–30,12 17,05–31,62 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,37 | 2,06 0,97–3,15 0,68–3,44 | 3,96 1,71–6,22 1,12–6,81 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,62–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,57 1,40–5,75 0,84–6,31 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,87 1,43–4,30 1,04–4,69 | 3,16 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,14 | 6,02 3,03–9,01 2,22–9,83 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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