Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·
Cupa Angliei·Runda 3 de calificare·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,303,00sigur0,73–2,670,44–2,151,17–4,82mai sigur0,48–2,920,22–2,380,69–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,083,969,04sigur3,21–6,942,22–5,715,43–12,64mai sigur2,72–7,431,76–6,174,48–13,60
Total șuturi
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,739,1422,87sigur9,80–17,655,57–12,7015,38–30,35mai sigur8,71–18,744,62–13,6613,33–32,40
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,486,1214,60sigur5,54–11,423,44–8,808,98–20,23mai sigur4,71–12,252,71–9,547,41–21,79
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,263,566,83sigur1,38–5,151,91–5,223,29–10,36mai sigur0,84–5,691,42–5,712,26–11,40
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,453,959,40sigur3,23–7,661,95–5,955,18–13,61mai sigur2,66–8,241,42–6,484,08–14,72
Posesie %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,5750,00sigur44,78–58,3643,21–56,78mai sigur43,11–60,0341,54–58,45
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție413380792sigur345–480313–446659–926mai sigur327–498296–464623–962
Precizie pase %
76%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,7269,75sigur71,69–79,7565,43–74,08mai sigur70,39–81,0464,12–75,38
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4211,1623,58sigur9,58–15,268,21–14,1017,79–29,36mai sigur8,83–16,017,46–14,8516,29–30,86
Ofsaiduri
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,933,93sigur0,85–3,170,83–3,021,68–6,19mai sigur0,55–3,470,55–3,311,09–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,873,52sigur0,60–2,690,74–3,001,34–5,70mai sigur0,33–2,960,45–3,290,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,853,356,20sigur1,41–4,291,79–4,903,20–9,19mai sigur1,03–4,671,37–5,332,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,70 0,73–2,67 0,48–2,92 | 1,30 0,44–2,15 0,22–2,38 | 3,00 1,17–4,82 0,69–5,30 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,08 3,21–6,94 2,72–7,43 | 3,96 2,22–5,71 1,76–6,17 | 9,04 5,43–12,64 4,48–13,60 | 58% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 13,73 9,80–17,65 8,71–18,74 | 9,14 5,57–12,70 4,62–13,66 | 22,87 15,38–30,35 13,33–32,40 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,48 5,54–11,42 4,71–12,25 | 6,12 3,44–8,80 2,71–9,54 | 14,60 8,98–20,23 7,41–21,79 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,26 1,38–5,15 0,84–5,69 | 3,56 1,91–5,22 1,42–5,71 | 6,83 3,29–10,36 2,26–11,40 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,45 3,23–7,66 2,66–8,24 | 3,95 1,95–5,95 1,42–6,48 | 9,40 5,18–13,61 4,08–14,72 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 51,57 44,78–58,36 43,11–60,03 | 50,00 43,21–56,78 41,54–58,45 | — | 51% 44% |
| Pase | 413 345–480 327–498 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,72 71,69–79,75 70,39–81,04 | 69,75 65,43–74,08 64,12–75,38 | — | 76% 20% |
| Faulturi | 12,42 9,58–15,26 8,83–16,01 | 11,16 8,21–14,10 7,46–14,85 | 23,58 17,79–29,36 16,29–30,86 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,01 0,85–3,17 0,55–3,47 | 1,93 0,83–3,02 0,55–3,31 | 3,93 1,68–6,19 1,09–6,78 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,78–6,25 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,85 1,41–4,29 1,03–4,67 | 3,35 1,79–4,90 1,37–5,33 | 6,20 3,20–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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