Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.463.03safe0.60–2.540.60–2.311.20–4.85safer0.35–2.790.37–2.540.72–5.33
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.2210.25safe3.17–6.903.47–6.966.65–13.86safer2.68–7.393.01–7.435.69–14.81
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2114.1328.34safe10.29–18.1410.57–17.6920.85–35.83safer9.20–19.239.61–18.6518.80–37.88
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.359.8119.15safe6.40–12.297.13–12.4913.53–24.78safer5.57–13.126.39–13.2311.96–26.34
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.437.44safe2.13–5.901.77–5.083.91–10.98safer1.59–6.441.28–5.572.87–12.01
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.8410.52safe3.46–7.892.84–6.846.31–14.73safer2.89–8.472.31–7.385.20–15.84
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.6750.06safe43.88–57.4643.27–56.84safer42.21–59.1341.60–58.51
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction493454947safe426–560387–520813–1080safer408–578370–538777–1116
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction70.2271.63safe66.19–74.2567.30–75.95safer64.90–75.5465.99–77.26
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1613.1325.28safe9.32–14.9910.18–16.0719.50–31.07safer8.56–15.759.43–16.8218.00–32.57
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.473.31safe0.67–2.990.38–2.571.05–5.56safer0.37–3.290.09–2.850.46–6.15
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.933.66safe0.68–2.780.80–3.061.48–5.83safer0.41–3.040.51–3.350.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.466.95safe2.06–4.931.90–5.013.96–9.95safer1.67–5.321.48–5.443.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 3.03 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.03 3.17–6.90 2.68–7.39 | 5.22 3.47–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 10.25 6.65–13.86 5.69–14.81 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.29–18.14 9.20–19.23 | 14.13 10.57–17.69 9.61–18.65 | 28.34 20.85–35.83 18.80–37.88 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.40–12.29 5.57–13.12 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.23 | 19.15 13.53–24.78 11.96–26.34 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.43 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.44 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.01 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.47 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 50.67 43.88–57.46 42.21–59.13 | 50.06 43.27–56.84 41.60–58.51 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 408–578 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.22 66.19–74.25 64.90–75.54 | 71.63 67.30–75.95 65.99–77.26 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–14.99 8.56–15.75 | 13.13 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.82 | 25.28 19.50–31.07 18.00–32.57 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 3.46 1.90–5.01 1.48–5.44 | 6.95 3.96–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 43% 15% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+