Superliga·Regular Season - 12·
Superliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.072.84safe0.81–2.740.22–1.921.02–4.67safer0.56–2.990.00–2.150.54–5.15
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.569.76safe4.34–8.071.82–5.306.16–13.37safer3.85–8.551.35–5.775.20–14.32
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.909.4627.36safe13.98–21.835.90–13.0219.88–34.85safer12.89–22.924.94–13.9817.82–36.90
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.726.3618.09safe8.78–14.663.68–9.0412.46–23.71safer7.95–15.492.94–9.7810.90–25.28
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.042.847.88safe3.16–6.921.19–4.494.34–11.41safer2.61–7.470.69–4.983.31–12.45
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.014.0110.02safe3.80–8.222.01–6.015.80–14.23safer3.22–8.801.47–6.544.69–15.34
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.8746.04safe49.08–62.6639.25–52.82safer47.41–64.3337.58–54.49
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction512428940safe445–579361–494806–1073safer427–597344–512770–1109
Pass accuracy %
45%
49%
homeawayprediction69.8170.20safe65.78–73.8465.88–74.53safer64.48–75.1364.57–75.84
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.2723.74safe8.64–14.319.32–15.2117.96–29.52safer7.88–15.078.57–15.9616.45–31.03
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.413.70safe1.13–3.450.32–2.501.44–5.95safer0.83–3.750.03–2.790.86–6.54
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.273.66safe0.35–2.441.14–3.401.48–5.84safer0.08–2.710.85–3.690.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.444.136.57safe1.01–3.882.58–5.693.58–9.57safer0.62–4.272.15–6.112.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.81–2.74 0.56–2.99 | 1.07 0.22–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.20 4.34–8.07 3.85–8.55 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.90 13.98–21.83 12.89–22.92 | 9.46 5.90–13.02 4.94–13.98 | 27.36 19.88–34.85 17.82–36.90 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.72 8.78–14.66 7.95–15.49 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 18.09 12.46–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.04 3.16–6.92 2.61–7.47 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.80–8.22 3.22–8.80 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.47–6.54 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.34 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.87 49.08–62.66 47.41–64.33 | 46.04 39.25–52.82 37.58–54.49 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–597 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.81 65.78–73.84 64.48–75.13 | 70.20 65.88–74.53 64.57–75.84 | — | 45% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.64–14.31 7.88–15.07 | 12.27 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.74 17.96–29.52 16.45–31.03 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 4.13 2.58–5.69 2.15–6.11 | 6.57 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+