Superliga·Regular Season - 12·
Superliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.262.82safe0.59–2.530.40–2.110.99–4.64safer0.34–2.780.17–2.340.51–5.12
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.919.33safe3.56–7.282.17–5.655.72–12.93safer3.07–7.771.70–6.124.77–13.89
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0411.4727.51safe12.11–19.967.91–15.0320.02–34.99safer11.02–21.056.95–15.9917.97–37.04
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.657.4316.08safe5.71–11.594.75–10.1110.45–21.70safer4.88–12.424.01–10.858.89–23.27
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.636.58safe2.07–5.840.98–4.283.05–10.12safer1.53–6.380.48–4.772.01–11.15
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.7910.36safe3.36–7.782.79–6.796.14–14.57safer2.78–8.362.25–7.325.04–15.68
Possession %
72%
25%
homeawayprediction55.3044.62safe48.51–62.0937.84–51.41safer46.84–63.7636.17–53.08
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction515387902safe448–583320–453768–1036safer430–601303–471733–1071
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction71.4969.15safe67.47–75.5264.82–73.47safer66.17–76.8263.51–74.78
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6912.5727.26safe11.85–17.539.62–15.5121.48–33.04safer11.10–18.288.88–16.2619.97–34.55
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.703.33safe0.47–2.790.61–2.801.08–5.58safer0.17–3.090.32–3.080.49–6.17
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.993.88safe0.85–2.950.86–3.111.71–6.06safer0.58–3.210.56–3.411.15–6.62
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.616.35safe1.30–4.172.06–5.173.35–9.34safer0.91–4.561.63–5.592.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.28 3.07–7.77 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.04 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 27.51 20.02–34.99 17.97–37.04 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 8.65 5.71–11.59 4.88–12.42 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 16.08 10.45–21.70 8.89–23.27 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 2.63 0.98–4.28 0.48–4.77 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.25–7.32 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 55.30 48.51–62.09 46.84–63.76 | 44.62 37.84–51.41 36.17–53.08 | — | 72% 25% |
| Passes | 515 448–583 430–601 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.49 67.47–75.52 66.17–76.82 | 69.15 64.82–73.47 63.51–74.78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 14.69 11.85–17.53 11.10–18.28 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.88–16.26 | 27.26 21.48–33.04 19.97–34.55 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 1.99 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.41 | 3.88 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.