Superliga·Regular Season - 12·
Superliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.850.922.77safe0.88–2.820.07–1.780.95–4.60safer0.63–3.070.00–2.000.47–5.07
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.479.15safe3.82–7.551.73–5.215.55–12.76safer3.33–8.031.26–5.684.59–13.71
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1210.6826.80safe12.20–20.057.11–14.2419.31–34.29safer11.11–21.146.15–15.2017.26–36.34
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.176.6417.81safe8.23–14.113.96–9.3212.19–23.44safer7.40–14.943.22–10.0610.62–25.00
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.616.79safe2.30–6.060.96–4.263.25–10.32safer1.75–6.600.47–4.762.22–11.36
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.9610.22safe4.05–8.471.96–5.966.00–14.43safer3.47–9.051.43–6.494.90–15.54
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.0647.93safe45.27–58.8541.15–54.72safer43.60–60.5239.48–56.39
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction469435904safe402–537368–501770–1038safer384–555351–519735–1073
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.1368.68safe64.10–72.1664.36–73.01safer62.80–73.4563.05–74.31
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2613.2626.52safe10.42–16.1010.32–16.2020.74–32.30safer9.67–16.859.57–16.9519.23–33.81
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.963.88safe0.75–3.070.87–3.051.62–6.13safer0.45–3.380.58–3.341.03–6.72
Yellow cards
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.133.74safe0.57–2.671.00–3.251.57–5.92safer0.30–2.930.70–3.551.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.726.10safe0.94–3.822.16–5.283.11–9.09safer0.56–4.201.74–5.702.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.07 | 59% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.55 3.33–8.03 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 9.15 5.55–12.76 4.59–13.71 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.12 12.20–20.05 11.11–21.14 | 10.68 7.11–14.24 6.15–15.20 | 26.80 19.31–34.29 17.26–36.34 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.17 8.23–14.11 7.40–14.94 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 17.81 12.19–23.44 10.62–25.00 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 2.61 0.96–4.26 0.47–4.76 | 6.79 3.25–10.32 2.22–11.36 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.05–8.47 3.47–9.05 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.49 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 52.06 45.27–58.85 43.60–60.52 | 47.93 41.15–54.72 39.48–56.39 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 469 402–537 384–555 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.13 64.10–72.16 62.80–73.45 | 68.68 64.36–73.01 63.05–74.31 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 13.26 10.42–16.10 9.67–16.85 | 13.26 10.32–16.20 9.57–16.95 | 26.52 20.74–32.30 19.23–33.81 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.38 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.70–3.55 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.72 2.16–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.