Superliga·Regular Season - 12·
Superliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.472.82safe0.38–2.320.62–2.331.00–4.64safer0.13–2.570.39–2.550.52–5.12
Shots on target
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.809.37safe2.70–6.433.06–6.555.76–12.97safer2.21–6.922.59–7.014.81–13.93
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1613.2026.36safe9.23–17.089.64–16.7618.87–33.84safer8.14–18.188.68–17.7216.82–35.90
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.078.4317.50safe6.13–12.015.75–11.1111.87–23.12safer5.30–12.845.01–11.8510.31–24.69
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.456.89safe1.56–5.321.79–5.103.35–10.42safer1.02–5.871.30–5.592.32–11.46
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.8910.24safe3.14–7.562.89–6.896.03–14.46safer2.56–8.142.36–7.434.92–15.56
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.6951.30safe42.90–56.4844.52–58.09safer41.23–58.1542.85–59.76
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction462482945safe395–530416–549811–1079safer377–548398–566776–1114
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction71.4675.17safe67.43–75.4970.85–79.49safer66.14–76.7869.54–80.80
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8011.3124.11safe9.96–15.648.37–14.2618.33–29.89safer9.21–16.397.62–15.0016.82–31.40
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.663.61safe0.79–3.110.57–2.751.36–5.86safer0.49–3.410.28–3.040.77–6.45
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.793.54safe0.69–2.790.67–2.921.36–5.72safer0.43–3.060.37–3.210.80–6.27
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.156.35safe1.76–4.631.60–4.713.35–9.34safer1.37–5.021.17–5.132.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.55 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.92 | 4.80 3.06–6.55 2.59–7.01 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.18 | 13.20 9.64–16.76 8.68–17.72 | 26.36 18.87–33.84 16.82–35.90 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 8.43 5.75–11.11 5.01–11.85 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.32 1.02–5.87 | 3.45 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.56 2.56–8.14 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.69 42.90–56.48 41.23–58.15 | 51.30 44.52–58.09 42.85–59.76 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 462 395–530 377–548 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.46 67.43–75.49 66.14–76.78 | 75.17 70.85–79.49 69.54–80.80 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.96–15.64 9.21–16.39 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.00 | 24.11 18.33–29.89 16.82–31.40 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.79 0.67–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.54 1.36–5.72 0.80–6.27 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.