Superliga·Regular Season - 12·
Superliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.692.97safe0.32–2.260.83–2.541.15–4.80safer0.07–2.510.60–2.770.67–5.28
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.355.169.51safe2.49–6.213.42–6.905.91–13.12safer2.00–6.702.95–7.374.95–14.07
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5213.9026.41safe8.59–16.4410.33–17.4618.93–33.90safer7.50–17.539.38–18.4216.88–35.95
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.839.7517.58safe4.89–10.787.07–12.4311.96–23.21safer4.06–11.616.33–13.1710.39–24.77
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.017.80safe1.90–5.672.36–5.674.26–11.33safer1.36–6.211.87–6.163.23–12.37
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.515.099.61safe2.30–6.733.09–7.095.39–13.82safer1.73–7.302.56–7.634.29–14.93
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.5754.17safe38.78–52.3647.39–60.96safer37.11–54.0345.72–62.63
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4915541046safe424–559488–621912–1179safer406–577470–638876–1215
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction69.9776.75safe65.94–74.0072.43–81.07safer64.65–75.2971.12–82.38
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3610.8820.24safe6.52–12.197.94–13.8314.46–26.02safer5.76–12.957.19–14.5812.95–27.53
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.683.23safe0.39–2.710.58–2.770.97–5.48safer0.09–3.010.30–3.060.38–6.07
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.683.01safe0.28–2.380.55–2.810.83–5.18safer0.01–2.640.26–3.100.27–5.74
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.066.41safe1.92–4.791.51–4.623.42–9.41safer1.53–5.181.08–5.042.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.52 8.59–16.44 7.50–17.53 | 13.90 10.33–17.46 9.38–18.42 | 26.41 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.78 4.06–11.61 | 9.75 7.07–12.43 6.33–13.17 | 17.58 11.96–23.21 10.39–24.77 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.01 2.36–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 7.80 4.26–11.33 3.23–12.37 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.51 2.30–6.73 1.73–7.30 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.57 38.78–52.36 37.11–54.03 | 54.17 47.39–60.96 45.72–62.63 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 491 424–559 406–577 | 554 488–621 470–638 | 1046 912–1179 876–1215 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.97 65.94–74.00 64.65–75.29 | 76.75 72.43–81.07 71.12–82.38 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 9.36 6.52–12.19 5.76–12.95 | 10.88 7.94–13.83 7.19–14.58 | 20.24 14.46–26.02 12.95–27.53 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.01 0.83–5.18 0.27–5.74 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 6.41 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+