Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.202.79safe0.62–2.560.34–2.050.97–4.61safer0.37–2.810.12–2.280.49–5.09
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.319.78safe3.60–7.332.57–6.066.17–13.38safer3.11–7.822.11–6.525.22–14.34
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6511.7227.36safe11.72–19.578.15–15.2819.88–34.85safer10.63–20.667.20–16.2417.83–36.90
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.368.1118.46safe7.41–13.305.43–10.7912.84–24.09safer6.59–14.134.69–11.5211.27–25.65
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.927.43safe2.63–6.401.27–4.573.90–10.97safer2.09–6.940.77–5.062.86–12.00
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.289.97safe3.48–7.902.28–6.285.75–14.18safer2.90–8.481.74–6.814.65–15.29
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4644.68safe48.67–62.2537.90–51.47safer47.00–63.9236.23–53.14
Passes
83%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction522405926safe454–589338–471792–1060safer436–607321–488757–1095
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.9971.51safe69.96–78.0267.18–75.83safer68.67–79.3165.87–77.14
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8713.8526.72safe10.03–15.7010.91–16.8020.94–32.50safer9.27–16.4610.16–17.5519.43–34.00
Offsides
35%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.803.41safe0.45–2.770.71–2.891.15–5.66safer0.14–3.070.42–3.180.56–6.25
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.204.00safe0.75–2.851.07–3.331.82–6.18safer0.48–3.110.78–3.621.26–6.74
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.546.41safe1.44–4.311.98–5.093.42–9.40safer1.05–4.701.56–5.522.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.33 3.11–7.82 | 4.31 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.65 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 11.72 8.15–15.28 7.20–16.24 | 27.36 19.88–34.85 17.83–36.90 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.41–13.30 6.59–14.13 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.52 | 18.46 12.84–24.09 11.27–25.65 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.63–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.90 2.90–8.48 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.46 48.67–62.25 47.00–63.92 | 44.68 37.90–51.47 36.23–53.14 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 522 454–589 436–607 | 405 338–471 321–488 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 83% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.99 69.96–78.02 68.67–79.31 | 71.51 67.18–75.83 65.87–77.14 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.87 10.03–15.70 9.27–16.46 | 13.85 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.55 | 26.72 20.94–32.50 19.43–34.00 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 35% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.74 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.54 1.98–5.09 1.56–5.52 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+