Superliga·Regular Season - 13·
Superliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.322.68safe0.39–2.320.47–2.180.85–4.50safer0.13–2.570.24–2.400.37–4.98
Shots on target
50%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.188.91safe2.86–6.592.44–5.925.30–12.51safer2.37–7.081.97–6.394.35–13.47
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2312.9127.14safe10.31–18.169.35–16.4719.65–34.63safer9.22–19.258.39–17.4317.60–36.68
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.858.4917.34safe5.91–11.795.81–11.1711.71–22.96safer5.08–12.625.07–11.9110.15–24.53
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.517.17safe1.77–5.541.86–5.173.63–10.70safer1.23–6.081.37–5.662.60–11.74
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.255.0010.25safe3.04–7.473.00–7.006.04–14.47safer2.47–8.042.46–7.534.93–15.57
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.7751.35safe42.98–56.5644.57–58.14safer41.31–58.2342.90–59.81
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction454469923safe387–521402–535789–1057safer369–540385–553754–1092
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction68.0873.11safe64.05–72.1068.78–77.43safer62.75–73.4067.47–78.74
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7912.9324.72safe8.95–14.639.99–15.8818.94–30.50safer8.20–15.389.24–16.6217.43–32.01
Offsides
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.653.53safe0.71–3.040.56–2.751.28–5.78safer0.41–3.340.27–3.040.69–6.37
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.013.74safe0.68–2.770.88–3.141.56–5.91safer0.41–3.040.59–3.431.00–6.47
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.096.17safe1.65–4.521.53–4.643.18–9.16safer1.26–4.911.10–5.072.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.23 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 12.91 9.35–16.47 8.39–17.43 | 27.14 19.65–34.63 17.60–36.68 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.91–11.79 5.08–12.62 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 17.34 11.71–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.51 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.46–7.53 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.77 42.98–56.56 41.31–58.23 | 51.35 44.57–58.14 42.90–59.81 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–540 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 923 789–1057 754–1092 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.08 64.05–72.10 62.75–73.40 | 73.11 68.78–77.43 67.47–78.74 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.20–15.38 | 12.93 9.99–15.88 9.24–16.62 | 24.72 18.94–30.50 17.43–32.01 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.71–3.04 0.41–3.34 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.53 1.28–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.74 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.09 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.07 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.