Superliga·Regular Season - 13·
Superliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.432.88safe0.49–2.430.57–2.281.06–4.71safer0.24–2.680.34–2.510.58–5.19
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.289.14safe3.00–6.732.53–6.025.53–12.75safer2.51–7.222.07–6.484.58–13.70
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1012.7125.80safe9.17–17.029.14–16.2718.32–33.29safer8.08–18.118.19–17.2316.27–35.34
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.028.6717.69safe6.07–11.965.99–11.3512.06–23.31safer5.24–12.795.25–12.0910.50–24.88
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.988.12safe2.26–6.032.33–5.634.59–11.66safer1.72–6.571.84–6.133.55–12.70
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.549.51safe2.76–7.182.54–6.545.30–13.72safer2.18–7.762.01–7.074.19–14.83
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1243.97safe49.33–62.9137.18–50.75safer47.66–64.5835.51–52.42
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction568399967safe501–635333–466833–1101safer483–653315–483798–1136
Pass accuracy %
55%
39%
homeawayprediction70.5769.00safe66.54–74.6064.67–73.32safer65.24–75.8963.37–74.63
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3512.6023.95safe8.52–14.199.65–15.5418.17–29.73safer7.76–14.958.91–16.2916.67–31.24
Offsides
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.443.30safe0.70–3.020.34–2.531.05–5.55safer0.40–3.320.06–2.820.46–6.14
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.723.52safe0.75–2.850.59–2.851.34–5.70safer0.49–3.120.30–3.140.78–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.246.15safe1.47–4.341.68–4.803.15–9.14safer1.08–4.731.26–5.222.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.22 | 4.28 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 9.14 5.53–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.10 9.17–17.02 8.08–18.11 | 12.71 9.14–16.27 8.19–17.23 | 25.80 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.07–11.96 5.24–12.79 | 8.67 5.99–11.35 5.25–12.09 | 17.69 12.06–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 3.98 2.33–5.63 1.84–6.13 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.70 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.18 2.18–7.76 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.07 | 9.51 5.30–13.72 4.19–14.83 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 56.12 49.33–62.91 47.66–64.58 | 43.97 37.18–50.75 35.51–52.42 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 568 501–635 483–653 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.57 66.54–74.60 65.24–75.89 | 69.00 64.67–73.32 63.37–74.63 | — | 55% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 12.60 9.65–15.54 8.91–16.29 | 23.95 18.17–29.73 16.67–31.24 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.15 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.