Superliga·Regular Season - 13·
Superliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.013.08safe0.10–2.041.16–2.871.26–4.91safer0.00–2.290.93–3.090.78–5.39
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.756.219.97safe1.89–5.624.47–7.966.36–13.57safer1.40–6.114.01–8.425.41–14.53
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3316.9128.24safe7.41–15.2613.35–20.4720.75–35.73safer6.32–16.3512.39–21.4318.70–37.78
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5711.7619.33safe4.63–10.519.08–14.4513.71–24.96safer3.80–11.348.35–15.1812.14–26.52
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.964.547.50safe1.08–4.842.89–6.203.97–11.04safer0.53–5.382.40–6.692.93–12.07
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.6310.01safe2.16–6.593.63–7.635.79–14.22safer1.59–7.163.10–8.174.69–15.33
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.4056.12safe36.61–50.1949.34–62.91safer34.94–51.8647.66–64.58
Passes
25%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction410489898safe342–477422–555764–1032safer324–495405–573729–1068
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction63.3372.43safe59.30–67.3668.11–76.75safer58.01–68.6666.80–78.06
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.8825.27safe9.56–15.239.94–15.8319.49–31.06safer8.80–15.999.19–16.5717.99–32.56
Offsides
43%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.453.10safe0.50–2.820.35–2.540.85–5.36safer0.20–3.120.06–2.830.26–5.95
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.984.26safe1.22–3.320.86–3.112.08–6.43safer0.96–3.590.56–3.401.52–6.99
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.606.45safe2.41–5.291.04–4.153.46–9.44safer2.03–5.670.62–4.582.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.01 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.09 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.11 | 6.21 4.47–7.96 4.01–8.42 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.33 7.41–15.26 6.32–16.35 | 16.91 13.35–20.47 12.39–21.43 | 28.24 20.75–35.73 18.70–37.78 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.63–10.51 3.80–11.34 | 11.76 9.08–14.45 8.35–15.18 | 19.33 13.71–24.96 12.14–26.52 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.96 1.08–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 4.54 2.89–6.20 2.40–6.69 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.37 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 5.63 3.63–7.63 3.10–8.17 | 10.01 5.79–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 43.40 36.61–50.19 34.94–51.86 | 56.12 49.34–62.91 47.66–64.58 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 410 342–477 324–495 | 489 422–555 405–573 | 898 764–1032 729–1068 | 25% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.33 59.30–67.36 58.01–68.66 | 72.43 68.11–76.75 66.80–78.06 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.56–15.23 8.80–15.99 | 12.88 9.94–15.83 9.19–16.57 | 25.27 19.49–31.06 17.99–32.56 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 43% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.96–3.59 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.85 2.41–5.29 2.03–5.67 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.62–4.58 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 61% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.