Superliga·Regular Season - 13·
Superliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.982.94safe0.99–2.930.13–1.841.12–4.77safer0.74–3.180.00–2.070.64–5.25
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.083.369.43safe4.21–7.941.61–5.105.83–13.04safer3.72–8.431.15–5.564.87–13.99
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7810.0125.79safe11.86–19.716.45–13.5718.30–33.28safer10.77–20.805.49–14.5316.25–35.33
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.195.3616.55safe8.25–14.132.68–8.0410.93–22.17safer7.42–14.961.94–8.789.36–23.74
Blocked shots
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.386.31safe2.05–5.810.72–4.032.77–9.84safer1.50–6.360.23–4.521.74–10.88
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.629.91safe4.08–8.511.62–5.625.70–14.12safer3.51–9.081.08–6.154.59–15.23
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4046.86safe46.61–60.1940.07–53.64safer44.94–61.8638.40–55.31
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction518458976safe451–585392–525843–1110safer433–603374–542807–1146
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction71.2271.40safe67.19–75.2567.07–75.72safer65.90–76.5565.76–77.03
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4714.6525.12safe7.63–13.3111.71–17.6019.34–30.91safer6.88–14.0610.96–18.3517.84–32.41
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.703.55safe0.69–3.010.61–2.791.30–5.81safer0.39–3.310.32–3.080.71–6.39
Yellow cards
18%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.433.68safe0.21–2.301.30–3.561.51–5.86safer0.00–2.571.01–3.850.95–6.42
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.394.116.51safe0.96–3.832.56–5.673.51–9.50safer0.57–4.222.13–6.092.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.21–7.94 3.72–8.43 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.56 | 9.43 5.83–13.04 4.87–13.99 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.78 11.86–19.71 10.77–20.80 | 10.01 6.45–13.57 5.49–14.53 | 25.79 18.30–33.28 16.25–35.33 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.19 8.25–14.13 7.42–14.96 | 5.36 2.68–8.04 1.94–8.78 | 16.55 10.93–22.17 9.36–23.74 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.50–6.36 | 2.38 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.08–6.15 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 53.40 46.61–60.19 44.94–61.86 | 46.86 40.07–53.64 38.40–55.31 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 518 451–585 433–603 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.22 67.19–75.25 65.90–76.55 | 71.40 67.07–75.72 65.76–77.03 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.31 6.88–14.06 | 14.65 11.71–17.60 10.96–18.35 | 25.12 19.34–30.91 17.84–32.41 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.39 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 18% 18% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.11 2.56–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 6.51 3.51–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+