Superliga·Regular Season - 14·
Superliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.250.903.14safe1.28–3.220.04–1.751.32–4.97safer1.03–3.470.00–1.980.84–5.45
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.313.209.51safe4.45–8.171.46–4.945.90–13.11safer3.96–8.660.99–5.414.95–14.07
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4110.1727.58safe13.49–21.336.61–13.7320.09–35.07safer12.39–22.435.65–14.6918.04–37.12
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.766.3418.11safe8.82–14.713.66–9.0212.48–23.73safer7.99–15.542.92–9.7610.92–25.30
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.416.83safe2.53–6.300.76–4.063.29–10.36safer1.99–6.840.27–4.562.26–11.40
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.7310.38safe4.43–8.861.73–5.736.16–14.59safer3.86–9.431.20–6.265.06–15.70
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.1343.36safe49.34–62.9236.58–50.15safer47.67–64.5934.90–51.82
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction495381877safe428–563315–448743–1011safer410–581298–465708–1046
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.7367.86safe65.70–73.7663.54–72.18safer64.41–75.0562.23–73.49
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8313.0425.88safe10.00–15.6710.10–15.9920.09–31.66safer9.24–16.439.35–16.7418.59–33.16
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.863.43safe0.40–2.720.77–2.961.17–5.68safer0.10–3.020.48–3.250.58–6.27
Yellow cards
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.053.45safe0.36–2.450.92–3.181.27–5.63safer0.09–2.720.63–3.470.71–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.946.22safe0.84–3.712.38–5.503.23–9.21safer0.45–4.101.96–5.922.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 1.28–3.22 1.03–3.47 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.31 4.45–8.17 3.96–8.66 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 9.51 5.90–13.11 4.95–14.07 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.41 13.49–21.33 12.39–22.43 | 10.17 6.61–13.73 5.65–14.69 | 27.58 20.09–35.07 18.04–37.12 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.76 8.82–14.71 7.99–15.54 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 18.11 12.48–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.41 0.76–4.06 0.27–4.56 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.26–11.40 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.20–6.26 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 56.13 49.34–62.92 47.67–64.59 | 43.36 36.58–50.15 34.90–51.82 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 495 428–563 410–581 | 381 315–448 298–465 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.73 65.70–73.76 64.41–75.05 | 67.86 63.54–72.18 62.23–73.49 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.83 10.00–15.67 9.24–16.43 | 13.04 10.10–15.99 9.35–16.74 | 25.88 20.09–31.66 18.59–33.16 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.36–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.19 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.94 2.38–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+