Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.422.92safe0.53–2.470.57–2.281.10–4.74safer0.28–2.720.34–2.500.62–5.22
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.399.16safe2.90–6.632.65–6.135.55–12.76safer2.41–7.122.18–6.604.60–13.72
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5712.2225.78safe9.64–17.498.65–15.7818.29–33.27safer8.55–18.587.69–16.7416.24–35.32
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.218.6417.84safe6.27–12.155.95–11.3212.22–23.47safer5.44–12.985.22–12.0510.65–25.03
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.756.73safe2.10–5.871.09–4.403.19–10.26safer1.56–6.410.60–4.892.16–11.30
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.509.90safe3.19–7.612.50–6.505.69–14.11safer2.61–8.191.97–7.034.58–15.22
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.4148.42safe44.62–58.2041.64–55.21safer42.95–59.8739.97–56.88
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction506458964safe439–573391–524830–1097safer421–591374–542794–1133
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction70.2670.72safe66.23–74.2966.40–75.05safer64.94–75.5865.09–76.36
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8311.7424.56safe9.99–15.678.79–14.6818.78–30.35safer9.24–16.428.04–15.4317.28–31.85
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.963.80safe0.68–3.000.87–3.051.55–6.06safer0.38–3.300.58–3.340.96–6.65
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.833.75safe0.87–2.960.71–2.961.57–5.93safer0.60–3.230.41–3.251.01–6.49
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.436.35safe1.49–4.361.88–4.993.36–9.34safer1.10–4.741.45–5.412.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.90–6.63 2.41–7.12 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.57 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 12.22 8.65–15.78 7.69–16.74 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.21 6.27–12.15 5.44–12.98 | 8.64 5.95–11.32 5.22–12.05 | 17.84 12.22–23.47 10.65–25.03 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 2.75 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.19–7.61 2.61–8.19 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.03 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 51.41 44.62–58.20 42.95–59.87 | 48.42 41.64–55.21 39.97–56.88 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–591 | 458 391–524 374–542 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.26 66.23–74.29 64.94–75.58 | 70.72 66.40–75.05 65.09–76.36 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.24–16.42 | 11.74 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 24.56 18.78–30.35 17.28–31.85 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.80 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.49 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.74 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.16 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+