Superliga·Regular Season - 14·
Superliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.763.15safe0.42–2.360.91–2.621.33–4.98safer0.17–2.610.68–2.840.85–5.46
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.859.28safe2.57–6.293.11–6.595.67–12.89safer2.08–6.782.64–7.064.72–13.84
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5413.3126.85safe9.61–17.469.74–16.8719.36–34.33safer8.52–18.568.78–17.8317.31–36.38
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.129.2418.35safe6.18–12.066.56–11.9212.73–23.98safer5.35–12.895.82–12.6511.16–25.54
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.857.68safe1.95–5.712.20–5.514.15–11.22safer1.40–6.261.71–6.003.11–12.25
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.689.75safe2.86–7.292.68–6.685.54–13.97safer2.29–7.862.15–7.214.43–15.07
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.7354.22safe39.94–53.5247.44–61.01safer38.27–55.1945.77–62.68
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction462531992safe394–529464–597859–1126safer376–547447–615823–1162
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction68.6574.54safe64.62–72.6870.22–78.87safer63.32–73.9768.91–80.18
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.859.8620.72safe8.01–13.696.92–12.8114.93–26.50safer7.26–14.456.17–13.5613.43–28.00
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.623.06safe0.28–2.600.53–2.720.81–5.32safer0.00–2.900.24–3.000.22–5.91
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.733.24safe0.46–2.550.60–2.861.06–5.42safer0.19–2.820.31–3.150.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.036.21safe1.74–4.611.48–4.593.21–9.20safer1.35–5.001.05–5.012.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.76 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.84 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 9.28 5.67–12.89 4.72–13.84 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.56 | 13.31 9.74–16.87 8.78–17.83 | 26.85 19.36–34.33 17.31–36.38 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 9.24 6.56–11.92 5.82–12.65 | 18.35 12.73–23.98 11.16–25.54 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.71 1.40–6.26 | 3.85 2.20–5.51 1.71–6.00 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 46.73 39.94–53.52 38.27–55.19 | 54.22 47.44–61.01 45.77–62.68 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 462 394–529 376–547 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 992 859–1126 823–1162 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.65 64.62–72.68 63.32–73.97 | 74.54 70.22–78.87 68.91–80.18 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.69 7.26–14.45 | 9.86 6.92–12.81 6.17–13.56 | 20.72 14.93–26.50 13.43–28.00 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 3.06 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.46–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.50–5.97 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+