Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.122.96safe0.86–2.800.27–1.981.13–4.78safer0.61–3.050.04–2.210.65–5.26
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.179.91safe3.87–7.602.43–5.916.30–13.51safer3.38–8.091.96–6.385.35–14.47
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6312.4628.08safe11.70–19.558.89–16.0220.60–35.57safer10.61–20.647.93–16.9818.55–37.62
Shots in box
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.848.2119.06safe7.90–13.795.53–10.8913.43–24.68safer7.07–14.624.79–11.6311.87–26.25
Blocked shots
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.417.90safe2.61–6.381.75–5.064.37–11.44safer2.07–6.921.26–5.553.33–12.47
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.5210.57safe3.84–8.262.52–6.526.35–14.78safer3.26–8.841.98–7.055.25–15.89
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.5447.84safe45.75–59.3341.06–54.63safer44.08–61.0039.38–56.30
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction502437938safe434–569370–503805–1072safer416–587353–521769–1108
Pass accuracy %
45%
49%
homeawayprediction71.1671.54safe67.13–75.1967.22–75.87safer65.84–76.4965.91–77.18
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6713.6826.35safe9.83–15.5110.73–16.6220.56–32.13safer9.08–16.269.98–17.3719.06–33.63
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.593.35safe0.60–2.920.50–2.691.10–5.61safer0.30–3.220.21–2.980.51–6.20
Yellow cards
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.113.91safe0.75–2.850.98–3.241.73–6.09safer0.48–3.120.69–3.531.18–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.846.94safe1.66–4.532.28–5.403.95–9.93safer1.27–4.921.86–5.823.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.73 3.87–7.60 3.38–8.09 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 9.91 6.30–13.51 5.35–14.47 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.63 11.70–19.55 10.61–20.64 | 12.46 8.89–16.02 7.93–16.98 | 28.08 20.60–35.57 18.55–37.62 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.84 7.90–13.79 7.07–14.62 | 8.21 5.53–10.89 4.79–11.63 | 19.06 13.43–24.68 11.87–26.25 | 69% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 3.41 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.98–7.05 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.54 45.75–59.33 44.08–61.00 | 47.84 41.06–54.63 39.38–56.30 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 502 434–569 416–587 | 437 370–503 353–521 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.16 67.13–75.19 65.84–76.49 | 71.54 67.22–75.87 65.91–77.18 | — | 45% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.83–15.51 9.08–16.26 | 13.68 10.73–16.62 9.98–17.37 | 26.35 20.56–32.13 19.06–33.63 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.98 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.12 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.84 2.28–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 6.94 3.95–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+