Superliga·Regular Season - 15·
Superliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.783.18safe0.43–2.370.92–2.631.36–5.00safer0.18–2.620.70–2.860.88–5.48
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.349.78safe2.58–6.313.59–7.086.18–13.39safer2.10–6.803.13–7.545.22–14.34
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1214.3927.50safe9.19–17.0410.83–17.9520.02–34.99safer8.10–18.139.87–18.9117.97–37.04
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction9.289.8819.17safe6.34–12.237.20–12.5613.54–24.79safer5.51–13.066.46–13.3011.98–26.36
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.067.82safe1.88–5.642.40–5.714.28–11.35safer1.33–6.191.91–6.203.25–12.39
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.649.31safe2.45–6.882.64–6.645.10–13.52safer1.88–7.452.11–7.183.99–14.63
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7445.05safe47.95–61.5338.27–51.84safer46.28–63.2036.60–53.51
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction549435983safe482–616368–501850–1117safer463–634351–519814–1153
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction70.4170.97safe66.38–74.4366.64–75.29safer65.08–75.7365.33–76.60
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6711.0021.67safe7.83–13.518.05–13.9415.89–27.45safer7.08–14.277.30–14.6914.38–28.96
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.453.06safe0.45–2.770.36–2.540.81–5.31safer0.15–3.070.07–2.830.22–5.90
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.823.60safe0.73–2.830.70–2.951.42–5.78safer0.46–3.090.40–3.250.87–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.076.69safe2.19–5.061.51–4.623.70–9.68safer1.80–5.451.09–5.052.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.70–2.86 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.58–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 5.34 3.59–7.08 3.13–7.54 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.12 9.19–17.04 8.10–18.13 | 14.39 10.83–17.95 9.87–18.91 | 27.50 20.02–34.99 17.97–37.04 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.23 5.51–13.06 | 9.88 7.20–12.56 6.46–13.30 | 19.17 13.54–24.79 11.98–26.36 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.33–6.19 | 4.06 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.25–12.39 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.45 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.18 | 9.31 5.10–13.52 3.99–14.63 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 54.74 47.95–61.53 46.28–63.20 | 45.05 38.27–51.84 36.60–53.51 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 549 482–616 463–634 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 983 850–1117 814–1153 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.41 66.38–74.43 65.08–75.73 | 70.97 66.64–75.29 65.33–76.60 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.51 7.08–14.27 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 21.67 15.89–27.45 14.38–28.96 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 1.82 0.70–2.95 0.40–3.25 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.63 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.45 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 51% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+