Superliga·Regular Season - 15·
Superliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.732.95safe0.24–2.180.88–2.591.12–4.77safer0.00–2.430.65–2.820.64–5.25
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.035.019.04safe2.17–5.893.26–6.755.43–12.64safer1.68–6.382.80–7.214.48–13.60
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8214.3527.17safe8.90–16.7510.79–17.9119.68–34.66safer7.81–17.849.83–18.8717.63–36.71
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.549.4517.99safe5.59–11.486.77–12.1312.36–23.61safer4.76–12.316.03–12.8710.80–25.18
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.087.79safe1.83–5.592.42–5.734.25–11.32safer1.29–6.141.93–6.223.22–12.36
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.2810.37safe2.88–7.303.28–7.286.16–14.58safer2.30–7.882.75–7.815.05–15.69
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.4754.51safe38.68–52.2647.73–61.30safer37.01–53.9346.06–62.97
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction410495906safe343–477429–562772–1039safer325–496411–579736–1075
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction65.8872.69safe61.85–69.9168.37–77.02safer60.55–71.2067.06–78.32
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7813.3625.14safe8.94–14.6210.41–16.3019.36–30.92safer8.19–15.379.66–17.0517.85–32.43
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.313.54safe1.06–3.390.22–2.401.28–5.79safer0.76–3.690.00–2.690.69–6.38
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.113.96safe0.80–2.900.98–3.231.78–6.13safer0.53–3.170.69–3.531.22–6.69
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.725.96safe1.80–4.681.16–4.272.97–8.95safer1.42–5.060.74–4.702.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 27% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.89 1.68–6.38 | 5.01 3.26–6.75 2.80–7.21 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.82 8.90–16.75 7.81–17.84 | 14.35 10.79–17.91 9.83–18.87 | 27.17 19.68–34.66 17.63–36.71 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.59–11.48 4.76–12.31 | 9.45 6.77–12.13 6.03–12.87 | 17.99 12.36–23.61 10.80–25.18 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.29–6.14 | 4.08 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.30 2.30–7.88 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 10.37 6.16–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.47 38.68–52.26 37.01–53.93 | 54.51 47.73–61.30 46.06–62.97 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 325–496 | 495 429–562 411–579 | 906 772–1039 736–1075 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.88 61.85–69.91 60.55–71.20 | 72.69 68.37–77.02 67.06–78.32 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.37 | 13.36 10.41–16.30 9.66–17.05 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.43 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.39 0.76–3.69 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.17 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.69–3.53 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.68 1.42–5.06 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.