Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.362.84safe0.51–2.450.51–2.211.02–4.66safer0.26–2.700.28–2.440.54–5.14
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.729.58safe3.00–6.722.98–6.465.98–13.19safer2.51–7.212.51–6.935.02–14.14
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6212.6926.31safe9.70–17.559.13–16.2618.83–33.80safer8.60–18.648.17–17.2216.78–35.85
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.068.7217.77safe6.11–12.006.03–11.4012.15–23.40safer5.28–12.835.30–12.1310.58–24.96
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.337.29safe2.09–5.851.67–4.983.76–10.83safer1.54–6.391.18–5.472.72–11.87
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.039.78safe2.54–6.963.03–7.035.56–13.99safer1.96–7.542.49–7.564.46–15.10
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.3745.72safe46.58–60.1638.94–52.51safer44.91–61.8337.27–54.18
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5444611005safe476–611395–528871–1139safer458–629377–545836–1174
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction72.4673.30safe68.43–76.4968.97–77.62safer67.14–77.7867.66–78.93
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2211.9423.16safe8.38–14.059.00–14.8917.38–28.94safer7.62–14.818.25–15.6415.87–30.45
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.663.29safe0.47–2.790.56–2.751.04–5.54safer0.17–3.090.28–3.040.45–6.13
Yellow cards
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.733.23safe0.45–2.540.60–2.861.05–5.40safer0.18–2.810.31–3.150.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.286.63safe1.91–4.791.72–4.833.64–9.62safer1.53–5.171.30–5.262.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.36 0.51–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.72 2.51–7.21 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.62 9.70–17.55 8.60–18.64 | 12.69 9.13–16.26 8.17–17.22 | 26.31 18.83–33.80 16.78–35.85 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.11–12.00 5.28–12.83 | 8.72 6.03–11.40 5.30–12.13 | 17.77 12.15–23.40 10.58–24.96 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.33 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.87 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.78 5.56–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 53.37 46.58–60.16 44.91–61.83 | 45.72 38.94–52.51 37.27–54.18 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 544 476–611 458–629 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 1005 871–1139 836–1174 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.46 68.43–76.49 67.14–77.78 | 73.30 68.97–77.62 67.66–78.93 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.05 7.62–14.81 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 23.16 17.38–28.94 15.87–30.45 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.29 1.04–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.23 1.05–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.79 1.53–5.17 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+