Superliga·Regular Season - 16·
Superliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.692.93safe0.27–2.200.84–2.551.10–4.75safer0.02–2.450.61–2.770.62–5.23
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.369.53safe2.30–6.033.62–7.115.92–13.13safer1.81–6.523.15–7.574.97–14.09
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8115.1526.96safe7.88–15.7311.59–18.7119.47–34.45safer6.79–16.8310.63–19.6717.42–36.50
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.849.5618.41safe5.90–11.786.88–12.2512.78–24.03safer5.07–12.616.15–12.9811.22–25.60
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.927.18safe1.37–5.142.27–5.583.64–10.71safer0.83–5.681.78–6.072.61–11.75
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.225.0610.28safe3.01–7.433.06–7.066.06–14.49safer2.43–8.012.52–7.594.96–15.60
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction45.0156.39safe38.22–51.8049.60–63.17safer36.55–53.4747.93–64.84
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction404509913safe337–471442–575779–1046safer319–489425–593743–1082
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction67.4175.51safe63.38–71.4471.18–79.83safer62.09–72.7369.87–81.14
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7713.0126.78safe10.93–16.6110.07–15.9621.00–32.57safer10.17–17.369.32–16.7119.50–34.07
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.343.55safe1.05–3.370.25–2.441.30–5.80safer0.75–3.670.00–2.730.71–6.39
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.853.86safe0.95–3.050.72–2.981.68–6.03safer0.69–3.320.43–3.271.12–6.59
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.836.42safe2.15–5.031.28–4.393.43–9.41safer1.77–5.410.85–4.812.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.45 | 1.69 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.77 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.03 1.81–6.52 | 5.36 3.62–7.11 3.15–7.57 | 9.53 5.92–13.13 4.97–14.09 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.81 7.88–15.73 6.79–16.83 | 15.15 11.59–18.71 10.63–19.67 | 26.96 19.47–34.45 17.42–36.50 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.90–11.78 5.07–12.61 | 9.56 6.88–12.25 6.15–12.98 | 18.41 12.78–24.03 11.22–25.60 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.61–11.75 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.43 2.43–8.01 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.52–7.59 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.01 38.22–51.80 36.55–53.47 | 56.39 49.60–63.17 47.93–64.84 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–489 | 509 442–575 425–593 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.41 63.38–71.44 62.09–72.73 | 75.51 71.18–79.83 69.87–81.14 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 13.77 10.93–16.61 10.17–17.36 | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.71 | 26.78 21.00–32.57 19.50–34.07 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.03 1.77–5.41 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+