Superliga·Regular Season - 17·
Superliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.352.89safe0.57–2.510.49–2.201.06–4.71safer0.32–2.760.26–2.430.58–5.19
Shots on target
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.359.58safe3.37–7.102.60–6.095.97–13.18safer2.88–7.592.14–6.555.02–14.14
Total shots
63%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6313.4129.04safe11.70–19.559.85–16.9721.55–36.53safer10.61–20.658.89–17.9319.50–38.58
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.218.9319.15safe7.27–13.166.25–11.6113.52–24.77safer6.44–13.995.52–12.3511.96–26.34
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.768.03safe2.39–6.152.11–5.414.49–11.56safer1.84–6.691.61–5.913.46–12.60
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.724.8010.52safe3.51–7.942.80–6.806.31–14.74safer2.94–8.512.27–7.335.20–15.84
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.7650.36safe43.97–57.5543.57–57.14safer42.30–59.2241.90–58.82
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction461450912safe394–529384–517778–1045safer376–547366–534742–1081
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction70.1973.13safe66.16–74.2268.80–77.45safer64.87–75.5167.49–78.76
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2312.7623.99safe8.39–14.079.82–15.7118.21–29.77safer7.64–14.829.07–16.4516.70–31.28
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.363.03safe0.50–2.820.27–2.460.77–5.28safer0.20–3.120.00–2.740.18–5.87
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.883.42safe0.49–2.590.76–3.011.24–5.60safer0.22–2.850.46–3.300.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.476.58safe1.67–4.541.92–5.033.59–9.57safer1.28–4.931.49–5.452.78–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.10 2.88–7.59 | 4.35 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.55 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 55% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.63 11.70–19.55 10.61–20.65 | 13.41 9.85–16.97 8.89–17.93 | 29.04 21.55–36.53 19.50–38.58 | 63% 31% |
| Shots in box | 10.21 7.27–13.16 6.44–13.99 | 8.93 6.25–11.61 5.52–12.35 | 19.15 13.52–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.61–5.91 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.72 3.51–7.94 2.94–8.51 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.27–7.33 | 10.52 6.31–14.74 5.20–15.84 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.76 43.97–57.55 42.30–59.22 | 50.36 43.57–57.14 41.90–58.82 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 461 394–529 376–547 | 450 384–517 366–534 | 912 778–1045 742–1081 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.19 66.16–74.22 64.87–75.51 | 73.13 68.80–77.45 67.49–78.76 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.07 7.64–14.82 | 12.76 9.82–15.71 9.07–16.45 | 23.99 18.21–29.77 16.70–31.28 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.58 3.59–9.57 2.78–10.38 | 37% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.