Superliga·Regular Season - 17·
Superliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.062.90safe0.87–2.800.21–1.921.08–4.72safer0.61–3.050.00–2.150.60–5.20
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.563.999.55safe3.70–7.432.25–5.735.95–13.16safer3.21–7.921.78–6.204.99–14.11
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5010.0225.52safe11.57–19.426.46–13.5818.03–33.00safer10.48–20.515.50–14.5415.98–35.05
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.556.0216.57safe7.60–13.493.34–8.7010.95–22.19safer6.77–14.322.61–9.449.38–23.76
Blocked shots
59%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.756.62safe1.99–5.751.09–4.403.09–10.16safer1.45–6.300.60–4.892.05–11.19
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.153.739.89safe3.94–8.371.73–5.735.67–14.10safer3.37–8.941.20–6.274.57–15.21
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.5850.07safe43.79–57.3743.28–56.85safer42.12–59.0441.61–58.52
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction479475954safe412–546409–542820–1088safer394–564391–559785–1123
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.6172.10safe65.58–73.6467.77–76.42safer64.29–74.9366.46–77.73
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4010.9523.36safe9.57–15.248.01–13.9017.57–29.14safer8.81–16.007.26–14.6416.07–30.64
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.783.52safe0.57–2.900.69–2.871.26–5.77safer0.27–3.200.40–3.160.67–6.36
Yellow cards
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.763.05safe0.24–2.340.63–2.890.87–5.23safer0.00–2.610.34–3.180.32–5.79
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.656.19safe1.10–3.972.09–5.203.19–9.18safer0.71–4.361.67–5.632.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.87–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.56 3.70–7.43 3.21–7.92 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 9.55 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.11 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.50 11.57–19.42 10.48–20.51 | 10.02 6.46–13.58 5.50–14.54 | 25.52 18.03–33.00 15.98–35.05 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.77–14.32 | 6.02 3.34–8.70 2.61–9.44 | 16.57 10.95–22.19 9.38–23.76 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.45–6.30 | 2.75 1.09–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 6.62 3.09–10.16 2.05–11.19 | 59% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.15 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.20–6.27 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 50.58 43.79–57.37 42.12–59.04 | 50.07 43.28–56.85 41.61–58.52 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 479 412–546 394–564 | 475 409–542 391–559 | 954 820–1088 785–1123 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.61 65.58–73.64 64.29–74.93 | 72.10 67.77–76.42 66.46–77.73 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.57–15.24 8.81–16.00 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.64 | 23.36 17.57–29.14 16.07–30.64 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.57–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.65 2.09–5.20 1.67–5.63 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.