Superliga·Regular Season - 17·
Superliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.942.86safe0.95–2.890.08–1.791.03–4.68safer0.70–3.140.00–2.020.55–5.16
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.238.75safe3.66–7.391.49–4.975.15–12.36safer3.17–7.881.02–5.444.19–13.31
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.759.7726.52safe12.82–20.676.21–13.3419.03–34.01safer11.73–21.765.25–14.2916.98–36.06
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.635.9616.59safe7.68–13.573.28–8.6410.97–22.21safer6.85–14.402.54–9.389.40–23.78
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.346.75safe2.52–6.290.69–3.993.21–10.28safer1.98–6.830.20–4.492.18–11.32
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.7710.26safe4.28–8.701.77–5.776.04–14.47safer3.70–9.281.24–6.304.94–15.58
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.1141.66safe51.32–64.9034.87–48.44safer49.65–66.5733.20–50.11
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction532386917safe465–599319–452784–1051safer447–617302–469748–1087
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction72.3068.83safe68.27–76.3364.51–73.16safer66.98–77.6263.20–74.46
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4613.6526.10safe9.62–15.2910.70–16.5920.32–31.89safer8.86–16.059.96–17.3418.82–33.39
Offsides
37%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.623.16safe0.39–2.710.52–2.710.91–5.42safer0.09–3.010.23–3.000.32–6.01
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.093.46safe0.32–2.420.96–3.221.28–5.64safer0.05–2.680.67–3.510.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.445.70safe0.83–3.701.88–5.002.71–8.69safer0.44–4.091.46–5.421.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.66–7.39 3.17–7.88 | 3.23 1.49–4.97 1.02–5.44 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.31 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.75 12.82–20.67 11.73–21.76 | 9.77 6.21–13.34 5.25–14.29 | 26.52 19.03–34.01 16.98–36.06 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.85–14.40 | 5.96 3.28–8.64 2.54–9.38 | 16.59 10.97–22.21 9.40–23.78 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 2.34 0.69–3.99 0.20–4.49 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.28–8.70 3.70–9.28 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.30 | 10.26 6.04–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 58.11 51.32–64.90 49.65–66.57 | 41.66 34.87–48.44 33.20–50.11 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 386 319–452 302–469 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.30 68.27–76.33 66.98–77.62 | 68.83 64.51–73.16 63.20–74.46 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.29 8.86–16.05 | 13.65 10.70–16.59 9.96–17.34 | 26.10 20.32–31.89 18.82–33.39 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 37% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.51 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.