Superliga·Regular Season - 18·
Superliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.202.81safe0.64–2.580.35–2.060.99–4.63safer0.39–2.830.12–2.280.51–5.11
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.869.26safe3.54–7.262.12–5.605.65–12.86safer3.05–7.751.65–6.074.70–13.82
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8110.8526.66safe11.88–19.737.29–14.4119.17–34.14safer10.79–20.826.33–15.3717.12–36.20
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.267.0317.30safe7.32–13.214.35–9.7211.67–22.92safer6.49–14.043.62–10.4510.11–24.49
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.427.01safe2.71–6.470.77–4.073.47–10.54safer2.16–7.020.27–4.562.44–11.58
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.999.79safe3.58–8.011.99–5.995.57–14.00safer3.00–8.581.46–6.534.46–15.11
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.4045.42safe48.61–62.1938.64–52.21safer46.94–63.8636.97–53.88
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction519427947safe452–587361–494813–1080safer434–605343–511777–1116
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction69.5969.26safe65.56–73.6264.94–73.58safer64.27–74.9163.63–74.89
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0312.0224.05safe9.19–14.879.08–14.9718.27–29.84safer8.44–15.628.33–15.7216.77–31.34
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.403.37safe0.81–3.130.31–2.491.12–5.62safer0.51–3.430.02–2.780.53–6.21
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.933.44safe0.46–2.560.80–3.051.26–5.62safer0.20–2.830.51–3.350.70–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.676.21safe1.11–3.982.11–5.233.22–9.21safer0.72–4.371.69–5.652.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 47% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.81 11.88–19.73 10.79–20.82 | 10.85 7.29–14.41 6.33–15.37 | 26.66 19.17–34.14 17.12–36.20 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.26 7.32–13.21 6.49–14.04 | 7.03 4.35–9.72 3.62–10.45 | 17.30 11.67–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.02 | 2.42 0.77–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.44–11.58 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.01 3.00–8.58 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.79 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.11 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 55.40 48.61–62.19 46.94–63.86 | 45.42 38.64–52.21 36.97–53.88 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 519 452–587 434–605 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.59 65.56–73.62 64.27–74.91 | 69.26 64.94–73.58 63.63–74.89 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.19–14.87 8.44–15.62 | 12.02 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 24.05 18.27–29.84 16.77–31.34 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.51–3.35 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.17 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.67 2.11–5.23 1.69–5.65 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+