Superliga·Regular Season - 18·
Superliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.193.24safe1.08–3.020.34–2.051.42–5.06safer0.83–3.270.11–2.280.94–5.54
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.0210.13safe4.25–7.972.28–5.766.52–13.73safer3.76–8.461.81–6.235.57–14.69
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7410.9026.64safe11.81–19.667.34–14.4619.15–34.13safer10.72–20.756.38–15.4217.10–36.18
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.346.8218.17safe8.40–14.284.14–9.5112.54–23.79safer7.57–15.113.41–10.2410.98–25.36
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.127.56safe2.56–6.321.46–4.774.02–11.09safer2.02–6.870.97–5.262.99–12.13
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.803.619.42safe3.59–8.021.61–5.615.20–13.63safer3.02–8.591.08–6.154.10–14.74
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7142.69safe50.92–64.5035.91–49.48safer49.25–66.1734.24–51.15
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5954371033safe528–663371–504899–1166safer510–681353–521863–1202
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction74.6770.90safe70.64–78.7066.58–75.22safer69.35–79.9965.27–76.53
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0912.2322.32safe7.25–12.939.29–15.1816.54–28.11safer6.50–13.688.54–15.9315.04–29.61
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.383.10safe0.56–2.880.29–2.470.85–5.36safer0.26–3.190.00–2.760.26–5.95
Yellow cards
30%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.873.33safe0.42–2.510.74–3.001.15–5.51safer0.15–2.780.45–3.290.60–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.876.67safe1.37–4.242.31–5.433.68–9.67safer0.98–4.631.89–5.852.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.25–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 4.02 2.28–5.76 1.81–6.23 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.74 11.81–19.66 10.72–20.75 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 26.64 19.15–34.13 17.10–36.18 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.34 8.40–14.28 7.57–15.11 | 6.82 4.14–9.51 3.41–10.24 | 18.17 12.54–23.79 10.98–25.36 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.02–6.87 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.15 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.71 50.92–64.50 49.25–66.17 | 42.69 35.91–49.48 34.24–51.15 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 595 528–663 510–681 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 1033 899–1166 863–1202 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.67 70.64–78.70 69.35–79.99 | 70.90 66.58–75.22 65.27–76.53 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.09 7.25–12.93 6.50–13.68 | 12.23 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 22.32 16.54–28.11 15.04–29.61 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.42–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 30% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.87 2.31–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.67 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+