Superliga·Regular Season - 18·
Superliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.302.78safe0.52–2.450.45–2.160.96–4.61safer0.26–2.700.22–2.380.48–5.09
Shots on target
51%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.128.86safe2.88–6.602.38–5.865.26–12.47safer2.39–7.091.91–6.334.30–13.42
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9912.4725.46safe9.07–16.928.91–16.0317.97–32.95safer7.97–18.017.95–16.9915.92–35.00
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.748.4417.18safe5.80–11.685.76–11.1211.56–22.80safer4.97–12.515.02–11.869.99–24.37
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.677.53safe1.98–5.752.02–5.324.00–11.07safer1.44–6.291.53–5.822.96–12.11
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.879.54safe2.46–6.892.87–6.875.33–13.75safer1.88–7.462.33–7.404.22–14.86
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.7248.10safe44.93–58.5141.31–54.88safer43.26–60.1839.64–56.56
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5324771009safe465–599410–543875–1142safer447–617393–561839–1178
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction72.7175.58safe68.68–76.7471.25–79.90safer67.39–78.0469.94–81.21
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4211.6621.08safe6.58–12.258.72–14.6115.30–26.86safer5.82–13.017.97–15.3613.79–28.37
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.533.25safe0.56–2.880.44–2.621.00–5.51safer0.26–3.190.15–2.910.41–6.10
Yellow cards
30%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.632.92safe0.24–2.340.50–2.760.74–5.09safer0.00–2.600.21–3.050.18–5.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.236.09safe1.42–4.301.67–4.783.09–9.08safer1.04–4.681.25–5.212.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.60 2.39–7.09 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 51% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.07–16.92 7.97–18.01 | 12.47 8.91–16.03 7.95–16.99 | 25.46 17.97–32.95 15.92–35.00 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.74 5.80–11.68 4.97–12.51 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 17.18 11.56–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 3.67 2.02–5.32 1.53–5.82 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.11 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.46–6.89 1.88–7.46 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.33–7.40 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 51.72 44.93–58.51 43.26–60.18 | 48.10 41.31–54.88 39.64–56.56 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 1009 875–1142 839–1178 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.71 68.68–76.74 67.39–78.04 | 75.58 71.25–79.90 69.94–81.21 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 9.42 6.58–12.25 5.82–13.01 | 11.66 8.72–14.61 7.97–15.36 | 21.08 15.30–26.86 13.79–28.37 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.60 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 2.92 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 30% 24% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.09 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.