Superliga·Regular Season - 19·
Superliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.382.87safe0.52–2.460.53–2.241.05–4.70safer0.27–2.710.30–2.470.57–5.18
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.429.12safe2.83–6.562.68–6.175.51–12.72safer2.34–7.052.21–6.634.56–13.68
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0612.1326.20safe10.14–17.998.57–15.7018.71–33.68safer9.04–19.087.61–16.6616.66–35.73
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.078.6617.72safe6.12–12.015.97–11.3412.10–23.34safer5.29–12.845.24–12.0710.53–24.91
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.018.40safe2.52–6.282.35–5.664.87–11.94safer1.97–6.821.86–6.153.83–12.98
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.379.46safe2.87–7.302.37–6.375.24–13.67safer2.30–7.871.84–6.914.14–14.78
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.0051.86safe41.21–54.7945.07–58.64safer39.54–56.4643.40–60.31
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction481491972safe414–548425–558839–1106safer396–566407–575803–1142
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction72.1475.85safe68.11–76.1771.53–80.17safer66.82–77.4770.22–81.48
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6311.9522.58safe7.79–13.479.00–14.8916.80–28.36safer7.04–14.238.25–15.6415.29–29.87
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.743.25safe0.36–2.680.64–2.831.00–5.51safer0.06–2.980.35–3.120.41–6.09
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.173.75safe0.53–2.631.04–3.301.57–5.93safer0.27–2.900.75–3.591.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.135.96safe1.39–4.261.57–4.682.96–8.95safer1.00–4.651.15–5.112.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.21–6.63 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.06 10.14–17.99 9.04–19.08 | 12.13 8.57–15.70 7.61–16.66 | 26.20 18.71–33.68 16.66–35.73 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.12–12.01 5.29–12.84 | 8.66 5.97–11.34 5.24–12.07 | 17.72 12.10–23.34 10.53–24.91 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 4.01 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 8.40 4.87–11.94 3.83–12.98 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.91 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 48.00 41.21–54.79 39.54–56.46 | 51.86 45.07–58.64 43.40–60.31 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 491 425–558 407–575 | 972 839–1106 803–1142 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.14 68.11–76.17 66.82–77.47 | 75.85 71.53–80.17 70.22–81.48 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.79–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 11.95 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 22.58 16.80–28.36 15.29–29.87 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.09 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 5.96 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.