Superliga·Regular Season - 19·
Superliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.722.81safe0.12–2.060.86–2.570.99–4.63safer0.00–2.310.64–2.800.51–5.11
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.299.40safe2.24–5.973.55–7.035.79–13.00safer1.75–6.463.08–7.504.84–13.96
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4614.4427.90safe9.54–17.3910.88–18.0120.42–35.39safer8.45–18.489.92–18.9718.37–37.44
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.929.9816.90safe3.98–9.867.30–12.6611.28–22.52safer3.15–10.696.56–13.409.71–24.09
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.887.19safe1.43–5.202.22–5.533.66–10.73safer0.89–5.741.73–6.022.62–11.77
Corners
29%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.7410.18safe2.23–6.663.74–7.745.97–14.39safer1.66–7.233.20–8.274.86–15.50
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.9250.08safe43.13–56.7143.29–56.86safer41.46–58.3841.62–58.54
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction469421890safe401–536354–487756–1023safer383–554337–505720–1059
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.7271.00safe62.69–70.7566.68–75.33safer61.40–72.0465.37–76.64
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6712.9727.64safe11.84–17.5110.02–15.9121.86–33.42safer11.08–18.279.27–16.6620.35–34.93
Offsides
45%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.853.96safe0.95–3.270.75–2.941.71–6.21safer0.65–3.570.47–3.231.12–6.80
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.813.81safe0.96–3.060.68–2.941.64–5.99safer0.69–3.320.39–3.231.08–6.55
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.090.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.410.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.966.22safe1.82–4.691.41–4.523.23–9.21safer1.43–5.080.98–4.942.42–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.64–2.80 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.46 9.54–17.39 8.45–18.48 | 14.44 10.88–18.01 9.92–18.97 | 27.90 20.42–35.39 18.37–37.44 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 6.92 3.98–9.86 3.15–10.69 | 9.98 7.30–12.66 6.56–13.40 | 16.90 11.28–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.43–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 3.88 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.77 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.20–8.27 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 29% 60% |
| Possession % | 49.92 43.13–56.71 41.46–58.38 | 50.08 43.29–56.86 41.62–58.54 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 469 401–536 383–554 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.72 62.69–70.75 61.40–72.04 | 71.00 66.68–75.33 65.37–76.64 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 14.67 11.84–17.51 11.08–18.27 | 12.97 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 27.64 21.86–33.42 20.35–34.93 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.96 1.71–6.21 1.12–6.80 | 45% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.81 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.02 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+