Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.173.06safe0.92–2.860.31–2.021.24–4.88safer0.67–3.110.09–2.250.76–5.36
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.613.859.47safe3.75–7.472.11–5.605.86–13.07safer3.26–7.961.65–6.064.90–14.03
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1011.3026.40safe11.18–19.037.74–14.8618.92–33.89safer10.09–20.126.78–15.8216.87–35.94
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.597.2317.82safe7.65–13.534.54–9.9112.19–23.44safer6.82–14.363.81–10.6410.63–25.01
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.482.807.28safe2.60–6.361.15–4.453.74–10.81safer2.05–6.900.65–4.942.71–11.85
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.1410.11safe3.75–8.182.14–6.145.90–14.32safer3.18–8.761.61–6.674.79–15.43
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4346.85safe46.64–60.2240.06–53.63safer44.97–61.8938.39–55.31
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction516437953safe449–583370–503819–1086safer431–602353–520783–1122
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction71.2170.80safe67.18–75.2466.47–75.12safer65.88–76.5365.16–76.43
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4511.8825.33safe10.61–16.298.93–14.8219.54–31.11safer9.86–17.048.18–15.5718.04–32.61
Offsides
33%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.153.93safe0.62–2.941.06–3.251.68–6.19safer0.32–3.240.77–3.531.09–6.78
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.963.84safe0.84–2.940.83–3.091.67–6.02safer0.57–3.200.54–3.381.11–6.58
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.816.34safe1.10–3.972.25–5.363.35–9.34safer0.71–4.361.83–5.792.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 54% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.61 3.75–7.47 3.26–7.96 | 3.85 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.03 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 11.30 7.74–14.86 6.78–15.82 | 26.40 18.92–33.89 16.87–35.94 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.59 7.65–13.53 6.82–14.36 | 7.23 4.54–9.91 3.81–10.64 | 17.82 12.19–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.75–8.18 3.18–8.76 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.67 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.43 46.64–60.22 44.97–61.89 | 46.85 40.06–53.63 38.39–55.31 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–602 | 437 370–503 353–520 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.21 67.18–75.24 65.88–76.53 | 70.80 66.47–75.12 65.16–76.43 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.45 10.61–16.29 9.86–17.04 | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 25.33 19.54–31.11 18.04–32.61 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.15 1.06–3.25 0.77–3.53 | 3.93 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.84 1.67–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+