Superliga·Regular Season - 20·
Superliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.943.04safe1.13–3.060.09–1.801.22–4.86safer0.88–3.310.00–2.030.74–5.34
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.189.95safe4.91–8.631.44–4.926.35–13.56safer4.42–9.120.97–5.395.39–14.51
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.069.6528.72safe15.14–22.996.09–13.2221.23–36.21safer14.05–24.085.13–14.1819.18–38.26
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.316.3318.63safe9.36–15.253.65–9.0113.01–24.26safer8.53–16.082.91–9.7511.44–25.82
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.052.797.84safe3.17–6.931.14–4.454.31–11.38safer2.62–7.470.65–4.943.27–12.41
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.709.89safe3.98–8.401.70–5.705.67–14.10safer3.40–8.981.16–6.234.57–15.21
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.9843.83safe50.19–63.7737.04–50.61safer48.52–65.4435.37–52.28
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction527414942safe460–594348–481808–1075safer442–612330–498772–1111
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction70.5671.07safe66.53–74.5966.75–75.39safer65.24–75.8865.44–76.70
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6211.3621.98safe7.78–13.468.41–14.3016.20–27.76safer7.03–14.217.66–15.0514.69–29.26
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.293.11safe0.65–2.970.20–2.390.85–5.36safer0.35–3.270.00–2.680.26–5.95
Yellow cards
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.882.96safe0.03–2.130.75–3.010.79–5.14safer0.00–2.400.46–3.300.23–5.70
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.456.78safe0.89–3.762.90–6.013.78–9.77safer0.50–4.152.47–6.442.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.06 0.88–3.31 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.91–8.63 4.42–9.12 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 9.95 6.35–13.56 5.39–14.51 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.06 15.14–22.99 14.05–24.08 | 9.65 6.09–13.22 5.13–14.18 | 28.72 21.23–36.21 19.18–38.26 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.53–16.08 | 6.33 3.65–9.01 2.91–9.75 | 18.63 13.01–24.26 11.44–25.82 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.17–6.93 2.62–7.47 | 2.79 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.98–8.40 3.40–8.98 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.16–6.23 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 56.98 50.19–63.77 48.52–65.44 | 43.83 37.04–50.61 35.37–52.28 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 527 460–594 442–612 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 942 808–1075 772–1111 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.56 66.53–74.59 65.24–75.88 | 71.07 66.75–75.39 65.44–76.70 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.78–13.46 7.03–14.21 | 11.36 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.05 | 21.98 16.20–27.76 14.69–29.26 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.13 0.00–2.40 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 2.96 0.79–5.14 0.23–5.70 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 4.45 2.90–6.01 2.47–6.44 | 6.78 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+