Superliga·Regular Season - 20·
Superliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.402.95safe0.58–2.520.54–2.251.13–4.77safer0.33–2.770.32–2.480.65–5.25
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.519.46safe3.09–6.822.76–6.255.86–13.07safer2.60–7.312.30–6.714.90–14.02
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3212.3526.67safe10.40–18.258.79–15.9119.18–34.16safer9.30–19.347.83–16.8717.13–36.21
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.496.8916.38safe6.55–12.434.21–9.5710.76–22.01safer5.72–13.263.48–10.319.19–23.57
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.136.66safe1.64–5.411.48–4.793.12–10.19safer1.10–5.950.99–5.282.09–11.23
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.169.86safe3.49–7.922.16–6.165.65–14.08safer2.92–8.491.62–6.694.54–15.18
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.1651.31safe42.37–55.9544.53–58.10safer40.70–57.6242.86–59.77
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction465484949safe398–532417–550815–1082safer379–550400–568779–1118
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction69.4472.40safe65.41–73.4768.07–76.72safer64.12–74.7766.77–78.03
Fouls
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7815.9627.74safe8.94–14.6213.02–18.9121.96–33.52safer8.18–15.3712.27–19.6520.45–35.03
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.933.92safe0.83–3.150.84–3.021.67–6.18safer0.53–3.450.55–3.311.08–6.76
Yellow cards
28%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.554.39safe0.79–2.891.42–3.682.21–6.57safer0.52–3.161.13–3.971.65–7.12
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.25safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
35%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.496.48safe1.56–4.431.93–5.043.49–9.47safer1.17–4.821.51–5.472.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 4.51 2.76–6.25 2.30–6.71 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.32 10.40–18.25 9.30–19.34 | 12.35 8.79–15.91 7.83–16.87 | 26.67 19.18–34.16 17.13–36.21 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.49 6.55–12.43 5.72–13.26 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.48–10.31 | 16.38 10.76–22.01 9.19–23.57 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.13 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.49–7.92 2.92–8.49 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.62–6.69 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.16 42.37–55.95 40.70–57.62 | 51.31 44.53–58.10 42.86–59.77 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 379–550 | 484 417–550 400–568 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.44 65.41–73.47 64.12–74.77 | 72.40 68.07–76.72 66.77–78.03 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.18–15.37 | 15.96 13.02–18.91 12.27–19.65 | 27.74 21.96–33.52 20.45–35.03 | 19% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.93 0.84–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.92 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.76 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.16 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.65–7.12 | 28% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.49 1.93–5.04 1.51–5.47 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 35% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+