Superliga·Regular Season - 20·
Superliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.033.35safe1.35–3.290.18–1.881.53–5.17safer1.10–3.540.00–2.111.05–5.65
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.5510.21safe4.80–8.521.80–5.296.60–13.81safer4.31–9.011.34–5.765.65–14.77
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1610.8929.06safe14.24–22.097.33–14.4621.57–36.55safer13.15–23.186.37–15.4219.52–38.60
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction12.127.1919.31safe9.18–15.064.51–9.8713.69–24.94safer8.35–15.893.78–10.6112.12–26.50
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.072.927.99safe3.19–6.951.27–4.584.46–11.53safer2.64–7.500.78–5.073.42–12.57
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.589.96safe4.17–8.591.58–5.585.74–14.17safer3.59–9.171.04–6.114.64–15.28
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.0836.32safe56.29–69.8729.53–43.10safer54.62–71.5427.86–44.77
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6393731012safe571–706306–439878–1145safer553–724289–457842–1181
Pass accuracy %
82%
14%
homeawayprediction76.6868.95safe72.65–80.7164.63–73.27safer71.36–82.0063.32–74.58
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0811.4322.51safe8.24–13.928.49–14.3816.73–28.30safer7.49–14.677.74–15.1315.23–29.80
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.372.83safe0.31–2.630.27–2.460.58–5.09safer0.00–2.930.00–2.750.00–5.68
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.682.99safe0.27–2.370.55–2.800.81–5.17safer0.00–2.630.26–3.100.26–5.73
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.446.80safe0.92–3.802.88–6.003.81–9.79safer0.54–4.182.46–6.423.00–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.03 0.18–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 66% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.66 4.80–8.52 4.31–9.01 | 3.55 1.80–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 10.21 6.60–13.81 5.65–14.77 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.16 14.24–22.09 13.15–23.18 | 10.89 7.33–14.46 6.37–15.42 | 29.06 21.57–36.55 19.52–38.60 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 12.12 9.18–15.06 8.35–15.89 | 7.19 4.51–9.87 3.78–10.61 | 19.31 13.69–24.94 12.12–26.50 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.50 | 2.92 1.27–4.58 0.78–5.07 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.57 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.17–8.59 3.59–9.17 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.04–6.11 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 63.08 56.29–69.87 54.62–71.54 | 36.32 29.53–43.10 27.86–44.77 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 639 571–706 553–724 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 1012 878–1145 842–1181 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.68 72.65–80.71 71.36–82.00 | 68.95 64.63–73.27 63.32–74.58 | — | 82% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.67 | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.00–2.93 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 2.83 0.58–5.09 0.00–5.68 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.63 | 1.68 0.55–2.80 0.26–3.10 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.26–5.73 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 4.44 2.88–6.00 2.46–6.42 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.60 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+