Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.593.09safe0.53–2.460.74–2.451.26–4.91safer0.27–2.710.51–2.680.78–5.39
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.674.949.61safe2.81–6.533.20–6.686.00–13.21safer2.32–7.022.73–7.155.05–14.17
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1314.2727.40safe9.20–17.0510.71–17.8319.91–34.89safer8.11–18.149.75–18.7917.86–36.94
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.959.4018.34safe6.01–11.896.71–12.0812.72–23.97safer5.18–12.725.98–12.8111.15–25.53
Blocked shots
36%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.666.93safe1.38–5.152.01–5.323.39–10.46safer0.84–5.691.52–5.812.36–11.50
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.289.97safe2.48–6.913.28–7.285.76–14.19safer1.91–7.482.74–7.814.65–15.29
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.1750.96safe42.38–55.9644.17–57.74safer40.71–57.6342.50–59.42
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction5015231024safe434–569457–589891–1158safer416–587439–607855–1194
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction73.0277.67safe68.99–77.0573.35–82.00safer67.70–78.3472.04–83.31
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.5122.11safe7.77–13.448.56–14.4516.33–27.90safer7.01–14.207.81–15.2014.83–29.40
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.673.75safe0.93–3.250.57–2.761.50–6.01safer0.63–3.550.28–3.050.91–6.59
Yellow cards
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.573.16safe0.54–2.630.44–2.700.98–5.33safer0.27–2.900.15–2.990.42–5.89
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.106.54safe2.01–4.881.54–4.663.55–9.53safer1.62–5.271.12–5.082.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 4.94 3.20–6.68 2.73–7.15 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.13 9.20–17.05 8.11–18.14 | 14.27 10.71–17.83 9.75–18.79 | 27.40 19.91–34.89 17.86–36.94 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.01–11.89 5.18–12.72 | 9.40 6.71–12.08 5.98–12.81 | 18.34 12.72–23.97 11.15–25.53 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 3.66 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 6.93 3.39–10.46 2.36–11.50 | 36% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.48–6.91 1.91–7.48 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.74–7.81 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 49.17 42.38–55.96 40.71–57.63 | 50.96 44.17–57.74 42.50–59.42 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 501 434–569 416–587 | 523 457–589 439–607 | 1024 891–1158 855–1194 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.02 68.99–77.05 67.70–78.34 | 77.67 73.35–82.00 72.04–83.31 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 11.51 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.20 | 22.11 16.33–27.90 14.83–29.40 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.59 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.16 0.98–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 3.10 1.54–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.