Superliga·Regular Season - 21·
Superliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.043.08safe1.08–3.010.18–1.891.26–4.90safer0.83–3.260.00–2.120.78–5.38
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.589.85safe4.41–8.131.84–5.326.25–13.46safer3.92–8.621.37–5.795.29–14.41
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.989.7926.77safe13.05–20.906.23–13.3519.28–34.25safer11.96–21.995.27–14.3117.23–36.30
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.435.8817.31safe8.49–14.373.20–8.5611.68–22.93safer7.66–15.202.46–9.3010.12–24.50
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.657.43safe2.89–6.661.00–4.303.89–10.96safer2.35–7.200.50–4.802.86–12.00
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.393.469.85safe4.17–8.601.46–5.465.64–14.06safer3.60–9.170.93–6.004.53–15.17
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.1145.75safe48.32–61.9038.97–52.54safer46.65–63.5737.30–54.21
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction543455998safe476–611388–521864–1132safer458–629371–539829–1167
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction72.2973.09safe68.26–76.3268.77–77.42safer66.97–77.6167.46–78.73
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.409.8921.29safe8.56–14.246.94–12.8315.50–27.07safer7.81–14.996.19–13.5814.00–28.57
Offsides
46%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.363.09safe0.57–2.890.27–2.450.84–5.34safer0.27–3.190.00–2.740.25–5.93
Yellow cards
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.652.81safe0.11–2.210.52–2.780.63–4.99safer0.00–2.470.23–3.070.07–5.55
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.226.59safe0.93–3.802.66–5.783.60–9.58safer0.54–4.192.24–6.202.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.08–3.01 0.83–3.26 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 61% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.27 4.41–8.13 3.92–8.62 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 9.85 6.25–13.46 5.29–14.41 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 26.77 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.43 8.49–14.37 7.66–15.20 | 5.88 3.20–8.56 2.46–9.30 | 17.31 11.68–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.89–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.50–4.80 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.39 4.17–8.60 3.60–9.17 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–6.00 | 9.85 5.64–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 55.11 48.32–61.90 46.65–63.57 | 45.75 38.97–52.54 37.30–54.21 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 543 476–611 458–629 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 998 864–1132 829–1167 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.29 68.26–76.32 66.97–77.61 | 73.09 68.77–77.42 67.46–78.73 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.24 7.81–14.99 | 9.89 6.94–12.83 6.19–13.58 | 21.29 15.50–27.07 14.00–28.57 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 46% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.47 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.81 0.63–4.99 0.07–5.55 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 4.22 2.66–5.78 2.24–6.20 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+