Superliga·Regular Season - 21·
Superliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.753.00safe0.28–2.220.90–2.611.18–4.82safer0.03–2.470.67–2.840.70–5.30
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.195.039.23safe2.33–6.063.29–6.775.62–12.83safer1.84–6.552.82–7.244.67–13.79
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5714.2728.84safe10.64–18.4910.71–17.8321.35–36.33safer9.55–19.589.75–18.7919.30–38.38
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.389.1217.50safe5.44–11.326.44–11.8011.88–23.12safer4.61–12.155.70–12.5410.31–24.69
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.787.41safe1.75–5.512.13–5.443.88–10.95safer1.21–6.061.64–5.932.84–11.99
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.5410.18safe2.42–6.843.54–7.545.96–14.39safer1.84–7.423.01–8.084.86–15.50
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.7350.73safe41.94–55.5243.94–57.51safer40.27–57.1942.27–59.18
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction461466927safe394–528400–533793–1061safer376–546382–550758–1097
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction68.8073.32safe64.77–72.8368.99–77.64safer63.48–74.1267.69–78.95
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5411.3423.88safe9.70–15.378.39–14.2818.09–29.66safer8.94–16.137.65–15.0316.59–31.16
Offsides
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.623.94safe1.15–3.480.53–2.721.69–6.19safer0.85–3.780.24–3.011.10–6.78
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.823.67safe0.81–2.910.69–2.941.49–5.85safer0.54–3.170.40–3.240.94–6.41
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.046.29safe1.82–4.691.48–4.593.30–9.28safer1.43–5.081.06–5.022.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.84 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 27% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 5.03 3.29–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.57 10.64–18.49 9.55–19.58 | 14.27 10.71–17.83 9.75–18.79 | 28.84 21.35–36.33 19.30–38.38 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.32 4.61–12.15 | 9.12 6.44–11.80 5.70–12.54 | 17.50 11.88–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.21–6.06 | 3.78 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.99 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.42–6.84 1.84–7.42 | 5.54 3.54–7.54 3.01–8.08 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 48.73 41.94–55.52 40.27–57.19 | 50.73 43.94–57.51 42.27–59.18 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–546 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 927 793–1061 758–1097 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.80 64.77–72.83 63.48–74.12 | 73.32 68.99–77.64 67.69–78.95 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.37 8.94–16.13 | 11.34 8.39–14.28 7.65–15.03 | 23.88 18.09–29.66 16.59–31.16 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.15–3.48 0.85–3.78 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.94 1.69–6.19 1.10–6.78 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.82 0.69–2.94 0.40–3.24 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 3.04 1.48–4.59 1.06–5.02 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+