Superliga·Regular Season - 21·
Superliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.863.13safe0.30–2.241.01–2.721.31–4.96safer0.05–2.490.78–2.950.83–5.44
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.919.04safe2.27–5.993.17–6.655.44–12.65safer1.78–6.482.70–7.124.48–13.60
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6514.0126.66safe8.73–16.5810.45–17.5719.18–34.15safer7.64–17.679.49–18.5317.13–36.20
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.059.4617.52safe5.11–11.006.78–12.1411.89–23.14safer4.28–11.836.04–12.8810.33–24.71
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.797.34safe1.66–5.432.14–5.443.80–10.87safer1.12–5.971.65–5.942.77–11.91
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.795.2610.04safe2.57–7.003.26–7.265.83–14.26safer2.00–7.572.72–7.794.72–15.36
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction51.0849.47safe44.29–57.8742.68–56.25safer42.62–59.5441.01–57.92
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction468419887safe401–535353–485753–1021safer383–553335–503718–1056
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction68.4371.22safe64.40–72.4666.89–75.54safer63.11–73.7565.59–76.85
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.7425.21safe9.64–15.319.79–15.6819.43–30.99safer8.88–16.079.04–16.4317.93–32.50
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.783.58safe0.64–2.960.68–2.871.33–5.83safer0.34–3.260.39–3.160.74–6.42
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.613.14safe0.48–2.570.48–2.740.96–5.32safer0.21–2.840.19–3.030.40–5.87
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.132.906.03safe1.69–4.561.35–4.463.04–9.02safer1.30–4.950.92–4.882.23–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.65 8.73–16.58 7.64–17.67 | 14.01 10.45–17.57 9.49–18.53 | 26.66 19.18–34.15 17.13–36.20 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–11.00 4.28–11.83 | 9.46 6.78–12.14 6.04–12.88 | 17.52 11.89–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.66–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.65–5.94 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.72–7.79 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 51.08 44.29–57.87 42.62–59.54 | 49.47 42.68–56.25 41.01–57.92 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 468 401–535 383–553 | 419 353–485 335–503 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.43 64.40–72.46 63.11–73.75 | 71.22 66.89–75.54 65.59–76.85 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.64–15.31 8.88–16.07 | 12.74 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 25.21 19.43–30.99 17.93–32.50 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.78 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.48–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.40–5.87 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.90 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.23–9.83 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.