Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.222.87safe0.68–2.620.37–2.081.05–4.69safer0.43–2.870.14–2.300.57–5.17
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.189.34safe3.30–7.022.44–5.925.73–12.94safer2.81–7.511.97–6.394.78–13.90
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3612.0426.40safe10.43–18.288.48–15.6118.91–33.89safer9.34–19.377.52–16.5616.86–35.94
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.037.1717.20safe7.08–12.974.49–9.8511.57–22.82safer6.25–13.803.75–10.5910.01–24.39
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.146.44safe1.41–5.171.49–4.802.90–9.97safer0.87–5.721.00–5.291.86–11.01
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.409.85safe3.23–7.662.40–6.405.63–14.06safer2.66–8.231.87–6.944.52–15.17
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.8250.73safe43.03–56.6143.94–57.51safer41.36–58.2842.27–59.18
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction466477944safe399–534411–544810–1078safer381–552393–561775–1113
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction71.4075.89safe67.37–75.4371.56–80.21safer66.08–76.7270.25–81.52
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1912.1424.33safe9.35–15.029.20–15.0918.55–30.11safer8.59–15.788.45–15.8417.04–31.62
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.573.73safe1.00–3.320.48–2.671.48–5.98safer0.70–3.620.19–2.950.89–6.57
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.893.50safe0.56–2.660.76–3.021.32–5.68safer0.29–2.920.47–3.310.76–6.23
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.285.91safe1.19–4.071.73–4.842.92–8.91safer0.81–4.451.30–5.262.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.30 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 47% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.02 2.81–7.51 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 9.34 5.73–12.94 4.78–13.90 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.36 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 12.04 8.48–15.61 7.52–16.56 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.03 7.08–12.97 6.25–13.80 | 7.17 4.49–9.85 3.75–10.59 | 17.20 11.57–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.17 0.87–5.72 | 3.14 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.44 2.90–9.97 1.86–11.01 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.94 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.17 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 49.82 43.03–56.61 41.36–58.28 | 50.73 43.94–57.51 42.27–59.18 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.40 67.37–75.43 66.08–76.72 | 75.89 71.56–80.21 70.25–81.52 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.35–15.02 8.59–15.78 | 12.14 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.62 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.23 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.07 0.81–4.45 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 31% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.