Superliga·Regular Season - 22·
Superliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.023.11safe1.12–3.060.17–1.881.29–4.94safer0.87–3.310.00–2.110.81–5.42
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.9810.31safe4.47–8.202.23–5.726.71–13.92safer3.98–8.691.77–6.185.75–14.87
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0610.5127.57safe13.13–20.986.95–14.0720.08–35.05safer12.04–22.075.99–15.0318.03–37.11
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.315.7817.08safe8.36–14.253.10–8.4611.46–22.71safer7.54–15.082.36–9.199.89–24.27
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.492.817.31safe2.61–6.371.16–4.473.77–10.84safer2.06–6.920.67–4.962.73–11.88
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.389.86safe4.27–8.691.38–5.385.65–14.08safer3.69–9.270.85–5.924.54–15.18
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3943.91safe49.60–63.1837.13–50.70safer47.93–64.8535.46–52.37
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction554416971safe487–622350–483837–1104safer469–640332–500801–1140
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction75.8973.37safe71.86–79.9269.05–77.70safer70.57–81.2167.74–79.01
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1814.1124.30safe7.35–13.0211.17–17.0618.51–30.08safer6.59–13.7810.42–17.8117.01–31.58
Offsides
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.953.74safe0.63–2.950.85–3.041.48–5.99safer0.33–3.250.56–3.330.89–6.58
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.263.62safe0.30–2.401.14–3.391.44–5.80safer0.04–2.670.84–3.680.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.694.166.84safe1.25–4.122.60–5.713.85–9.83safer0.86–4.512.17–6.143.04–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.34 4.47–8.20 3.98–8.69 | 3.98 2.23–5.72 1.77–6.18 | 10.31 6.71–13.92 5.75–14.87 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.06 13.13–20.98 12.04–22.07 | 10.51 6.95–14.07 5.99–15.03 | 27.57 20.08–35.05 18.03–37.11 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.31 8.36–14.25 7.54–15.08 | 5.78 3.10–8.46 2.36–9.19 | 17.08 11.46–22.71 9.89–24.27 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.37 2.06–6.92 | 2.81 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 7.31 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.88 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.48 4.27–8.69 3.69–9.27 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.85–5.92 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 80% |
| Possession % | 56.39 49.60–63.18 47.93–64.85 | 43.91 37.13–50.70 35.46–52.37 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 554 487–622 469–640 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 971 837–1104 801–1140 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.89 71.86–79.92 70.57–81.21 | 73.37 69.05–77.70 67.74–79.01 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.18 7.35–13.02 6.59–13.78 | 14.11 11.17–17.06 10.42–17.81 | 24.30 18.51–30.08 17.01–31.58 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.26 1.14–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.35 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 4.16 2.60–5.71 2.17–6.14 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.04–10.65 | 22% 13% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.